Fabio Marozsan vs Casper Ruud: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 May 2025
As the French Open opens up on May 28, under the Round of 64 heat, we have Hungary’s Fabian Marozsan (ATP 56) versus Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz (ATP 2) on Court Philippe-Chatrier. Alcaraz, coming into this contest with a 9-1 record and a 3-0 first-round victory over Giulio Zeppieri, is the 1.021 favorite; meanwhile, Marozsan, 6-4, after a 3-0 win over Luca Nardi, aims to defy 13.5 odds.
The H2H is tied 1-1, with Marozsan's win on clay in 2023 stirring the pot. Now that it's 14:10 GMT, our analysis uses a mix of statistics and trends to prepare you with sharp betting tips for this unique opportunity to catch this huge match.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇭🇺 Fabio Marozsan: form and statistics
Fabian Marozsan enters the Roland Garros clay with all the fanfare of a Hungarian maestro, his cunning drop shots intended to mesmerise Paris. Marozsan, ranked 56th ATP, in 2025 is 6-4 with a 9-5 record on clay. His 6-2, 6-3, 7-6 R128 showing over Luca Nardi consisted of 0 aces, 2 double faults, 58% of first serves, 75% first serves points won, 4/5 break points saved, and 4 break points converted.
His clay stats over 2025 show 62.5% first serve, 68.1% points won on first serve, 91.1% on second serve, 2.9 aces per match, 2.7 double faults per match, 68% on break points saved, 29% on break points converted, and 60% on tiebreak wins.
Marozsan''s third-round run at the Australian Open in 2024 is somewhat indicative of his potential, but inconsistency can be gathered from his recent Geneva Open Round of 16 defeat. Alcaraz will see Marozsan take a great deal of inspiration from his upset of the Spaniard at the Rome Open last year in order to have a shot.
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz: form and statistics
Carlos Alcaraz soars onto the Roland Garros clay, like a Spanish Comet, his fiery style illuminating the Parisian sky! With an ATP ranking of No. 2, Alcaraz boasts a record of 9-1 in 2025 and 16-1 on clay. His 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 R128 win over Giulio Zeppieri saw 3 aces, 4 double faults, 66% first serve, 77% first serve points won, 3/3 break points saved, and 4 break points converted. His January 2025 clay stats include 66.4% first serve in, 69.4% first serve points won, 87.2% second serve points won, 1.6 aces per match, 2.9 double faults per match, 66% break points saved, 43% break points converted, and 83% tiebreak wins.
Alcaraz, defending champion, did win Monte Carlo and Rome this year, but here's to hoping the mentions on X about practicing Marozsan's dropshots since their 2023 Rome meeting, bear some fruit. Olympic silver at Roland Garros further testifies to the aptness of clay for Alcaraz
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Fabio Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Statistics
As we look at the head-to-head record between these players, Marozsan and Alcaraz are at even stakes, 1-1. Marozsan had pulled off a bit of a shocker against Alcaraz at the Rome Masters in 2023, winning 6-3, 7-6 on clay, but the Spanish teenager got his revenge in Indian Wells, 6-3, 6-3.
Alcaraz's 16-1 clay record and 43% break-point conversion are much better than Marozsan's 9-5 and 29%, while Marozsan boasts a minor edge in break-point saves at 68% compared to Alcaraz's 66%. Alcaraz's 83% win rate in clay tiebreakers is better than Marozsan's 60%.
If the clay rematch transpires, Alcaraz's recent form will essentially count for nothing though the memory of Marozsan's previous upset will surely hover.
Fabio Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips and Odds
- Alcaraz's 16-1 clay record and 69.4% first serve points won make him a lock at 1.021 odds.
- Marozsan's 68% break point saves support +8.5 games at 1.87 odds.
- Alcaraz’s 3-0 R128 win and Marozsan’s 2.7 double faults/match suggest under 29.5 games at 1.89 odds.
- Alcaraz’s 43% break point conversion backs the -8.5 games handicap at 1.89 odds.
- Marozsan's 60% tiebreak win rate offers value for over 0.5 tiebreaks at 1.80 odds.
Fabio Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz (1.021) has a slight advantage over Marozsan (13.5) with 16-1 on clay, very even at one match apiece in H2H, and 87.2 percent of points won on his second serve. Marozsan's 9-5 clay record and upset in Rome in 2023 indicate his potential, but his 29 percent conversion rate on break points is weak compared to Alcaraz's 66 percent on break point saves.
Alcaraz has been going well ever since his R128 win and the two Masters 1000 titles in Monte Carlo and Rome. Alcaraz should win this match in straight sets with consistency.
Below are the top betting tips for the upcoming match:
Prediction: Under 31.5 games @ 1.6 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Alcaraz -8.5 games @ 1.89 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Under 29.5 games @ 1.89 Odds on Bet365
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