Lois Boisson vs Jessica Pegula Prediction: Can Boisson’s Cinderella Run Shock Pegula’s Clay Dominance?

France
France
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
02 Jun 2025 12:00
USA
USA
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, R16
02 Jun 2025, 12:00
Paris France 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
01 Jun 2025
18:42
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Pegula wins 2-0
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Lois Boisson vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction for the Match on May 02, 2025

Roland Garros is set to heat up June 2, 2025, at 12:00 noon as French wildcard Lois Boisson, ranked 361, goes against top-seeded Jessica Pegula in the French Open Round of 16. This is a David-and-Goliath situation: Boisson with her improbable run coming up from the ITF circuit against Pegula with a proven facade on clay. Pegula is an all-time top-notch player; however, this is the first-ever meeting, meaning an entirely fresh rivalry with the French crowd ready to erupt. According to the odds from BetMGM, Pegula has huge favoritism at 1.142, while Boisson is the underdog at 5.65 odds. The tension is mounting as a quarterfinal spot is at stake, along with Boisson having the home support; let's go in.

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Lois Boisson is the feel-good story of Roland Garros 2025, and she's not giving up yet. The 22-year-old-wildcard from France and world No. 361 has shocked the entire bunch with a 19-7 record in 2025, including 18-5 on clay. She reached her maiden Round of 16 in a Slam event after winning in three hard-fought sets (6-3, 0-6, 7-5) against Elsa Jacquemot on 31 May, surviving a knee scare, saving match points, and clinging on with 58% points won on her first serve (Tennis Tonic, Sportstar). Her clay stats this year go in the elite category: 70.8% service games won, 52.4% return games, and 73.3% break-point conversion rate! It is her 18-5 in the ITF tour that has brought her this far, and X is calling her "unbelievable grit." Facing Pegula, a top seed, is a mountain, but the home crowd might be the edge. Can the rookie upset?

We know Jessica Pegula is an ace on clay courts, and she won't let a wildcard stop her. The 31-year-old American is third in the world rankings, currently holding a 31-10 win-loss record in 2025; out of these, one particular clay-court 11-4 record holds more prominence, given her titles in Charleston and Austin. A 2024 US Open finalist and 2022 French Open quarterfinalist, she is firing on all cylinders after her win against Marketa Vondrousova on May 31, from a set down at 3-6, 6-4, 6-2, winning 65% of service games and breaking 40% of the occasions with the help of WTOP News and Sportstar. Her career clay record is now at 74-46; over the past 12 months, she has won nine, lost five on clay. On X, fans celebrate her "resilience," yet some identify her early Devil exits in Madrid and Rome as her Achilles' heel. Pegula told Sky Sports on May 31, "I’m hitting my head against the wall with this schedule, but I’m ready." Can she handle Boisson having home court advantage?

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It is the first meeting, with no H2H record being analyzed. The wildcard and up-and-coming Boisson versus Pegula, who belongs to the upper echelon, creates a scenario of unprecedented dynamics on clay. X buzz calls it a "clash of new vs. proven," with the French crowd obviously rooting for Boisson. No streaks exist; however, Pegula's Grand Slam experience looms over Boisson's debutante run.

  • Pegula's 65% service game win rate backs under 4.5 aces for Boisson at 1.80 odds.
  • Boisson's 73.3% break-point conversion supports over 5.5 games in the first set at 1.85 odds.
  • Their styles suggest under 19.5 games at 1.94 odds
  • Pegula's 11-4 clay record backs Pegula to win at 1.142 odds.
  • Pegula’s experience leans toward under 2.5 sets at 1.75 odds.

Court Philippe-Chatrier is bound to erupt on June 2, 2025, at noon when Lois Boisson (5.65) goes up against Jessica Pegula (1.142) in hope versus history as the R16 at the French Open. Boisson with a clay record of 18-5 and 6-3, 0-6, 7-5 win over Jacquemot shows she does really fight, with 58% of points won on first serve. Pegula, on the other hand, stands tall with an 11-4 clay record and a 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 win over Vondrousova, showing she can come clutch with 65% of service games won. Since it's their first meeting, it adds some puzzle. Boisson's home support clashes against Pegula's experience. Expect Pegula to go for the fast start but Boisson to be keeping her in check.

Below are the best picks for this game:

Prediction: Pegula wins 2-0 @ 1.6 odds on Bet365

Bet Tip: Under 19.5 games @ 1.94 odds on Betway

Main Bet Tip: Under 21 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Pegula wins 2-0
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Odds 1,94
Bet Type Under 19.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 21 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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