French Open 2025: Musetti vs Hanfmann R128 Prediction
The French Open 2025 will offer glamour on May 24 with an intriguing Round of 128 meeting in the making at Roland Garros, involving Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti (ATP 8) and Germany’s Yannick Hanfmann (ATP 137).
Musetti is a strong favorite at 1.061, boasting an 8-2 form with a run to the Monte Carlo final, while Hanfmann is 5-5 on the clay courts with odds of 9.00. In their head-to-head clashes, Hanfmann leads 2-1, while Musetti has a 15-1 record on clay courts this season.
Considering this, with Musetti looking to make a deep run and with Hanfmann showing his resilience, who will move forward?
Our analysis takes a plunge into stats, trends, and news to deliver keen betting insights for this opening-round fight on the Parisian clay—read on!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti: Italian Star’s Title Ambition
Lorenzo Musetti dances onto the Roland Garros clay like the Renaissance painter whose every stroke is a blend of subtlety and power.
Friday atop the ATP rankings at No. 8, Musetti plays an 8-2 run for 2025, holding a 15-1 clay record this year. His recent semifinal defeat against Carlos Alcaraz, 6-3, 7-6, in Rome showed 0 aces, 1 double fault, and 72% first serve, 61% first serve points won.
Also, Musetti saved 9 of 14 break points from his opponent, converted 3 himself, and 2025 clay stats behind him are 64.4% first serve, 68.8% first serve points won, 87.3% second serve, 1.6 aces/match, 2.9 double faults/match, 65% break points saved, 42% break points converted, 83% tiebreak wins.
His presence in the Monte Carlo final, alongside semifinals in Madrid and Rome and besting heavyweights Berrettini and Tsitsipas, puts such clay credentials beyond question. With a draw so favorable as to keep Alcaraz and Sinner at bay in the early rounds, Musetti strides out in high confidence prefaced by a simple expression: "I can win the tournament." Against Hanfmann, Musetti will serve up a solid concrete wall on the baseline.
🇩🇪 Yannick Hanfmann: German Veteran’s Clay Fight
With a steadfast being protection, Yannick Hanfmann walks onto the Roland Garros clay, his serve being a lance hard to pierce through any defense. Currently ranked ATP 137, Hanfmann enters with a 5-5 form and a 6-7 clay record in 2025.
In his most recent French Open qualifiers victory against Titouan Droguet by 4-6 6-3 3-6 in the first round, there were three aces, zero double faults, 77 percent first serves, 70 percent first serve points won, three to six break points saved, and four break points converted.
Throughout 2025, Hanfmann's clay statistics are first serve 69.7%, first serve points won 66.5%, second serve 94.1%, aces per match 2.2, double faults per match 1.3, break points saved 66%, break points converted 35%, and tiebreak wins 0%.
Hanfmann, hearing-impaired since birth, reached the second round of Roland Garros 2023, while also having a 2-1 H2H record in favor of Musetti. Against the Italian star, his serve and fortitude will take him far.
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👥 Head-to-Head: Musetti vs Hanfmann
In a classic lead of 2-1, his last win was another best-of-two sets victory (6-4, 7-6), during the Madrid Open 2023. No streaks apply to the H2H scenario, so Hanfmann's victories serve to show that he can nullify Musetti's baseline game by having a very strong first serve (69.7%).
On clay, Musetti's 15-1 record and 42% break point conversion overshadow Hanfmann's 6-7 win-loss and 0% tiebreak wins. Yet again, Musetti's 83% tiebreak win could be crucial if sets bring a tight score.
This clash in R128 puts Musetti's clay consistency against Hanfmann's prior successes in head-to-head matches, though current form tilts in favor of the Italian.
📉 Top Betting Trends for Musetti vs Hanfmann
- Musetti’s 15-1 clay record and 65% break point saves make him a lock at 1.061 odds
- His 77% first serve and 70% points won (last match) support over 2.5 aces at 1.80 odds.
- Musetti’s dominance and Hanfmann’s 0% tiebreak wins suggest under 30.5 games (1.90 odds).
- Musetti’s 15-1 clay form supports the -8.5 games handicap at 1.88 odds.
- His 66% break point saves offer value for +8.5 games at 1.88 odds.
French Open 2025 R128 Predictions and Betting Picks
Lorenzo Musetti (1.061) is the overwhelming favorite, with his 15-1 record on clay, 68.8% of first serve points won, and 83% of tiebreaks won all put against Hanfmann's 6-7 record on clay at 9.00 odds.
Hanfmann has the advantage with a 2-1 head-to-head lead and 66% of break points saved, but he cannot stand up to Musetti with a 0% record in tiebreaks on clay and only 35% conversion on break points against Musetti's 42%. Lastly, up against a qualifier,
Musetti's semifinal at Rome and final at Monte Carlo speak of perfect form, while Hanfmann feels weak on behalf of a qualifier. An easy straight-set win for Musetti should be expected on the basis of baseline consistency.
Below are three top picks for this clash:-
Pick: Musetti in 3 sets @ 1.76 odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Musetti -8.5 games @ 1.88 odds on Betway
Value Tip: Under 30.5 games @ 1.90 odds on Bet365
Other predictions
