Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff : Prediction for the Match on June 04, 2025
For all tennis fans who haven't been comforted by the thought of another all-American quarterfinal at the French Open: the Court Philippe Chatrier will witness the encounter between Madison Keys (No. 7) and Coco Gauff (No. 2) on June 4, 2025, at 12:00. It will be the clash of raw power of Keys and the clay-court savvy of Gauff for the ticket to the semis. The head-to-head is currently in Keys' favor, 3-2, but Gauff made her presence felt in the 2022 French Open final, where she is favored at 1.6, while Keys comes at quite a payout of 2.704 (BetMGM). Both carry all the momentum and confidence with a powerful win, and considering Keys has won every Grand Slam match this year, the tension is palpable. Let's break it down.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Madison Keys: form and statistics
The American powerhouse pursuing her second Grand Slam of 2025 is Madison Keys. The 30-year-old No. 7 in the world boasts a 28-6 record this year, with a 9-3 tenor on clay. She is an 11-0 Grand Slam winner in 2025 after having won the Australian Open. She entered her first Roland Garros quarterfinal since 2019 after defeating Hailey Baptiste 6-3, 7-5 on June 2 (Yahoo Sports, June 2). Keys hit 35 winners in that hour and 40-minute match and won 72 percent of points on first serve. Her 2025 clay stats reflect 39.5 percent break points conversion and 72 percent service games conversion. Keys even saved three match points en route to a 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 third-round win over Sofia Kenin (Sportstar, June 1). Posts on X are calling her a major "unbreakable," with fans noting clutch performances from Keys. "I’ve learned to channel my power better on clay," Keys said to Reuters (June 3). Can she overpower Gauff on this stage?
🇺🇸 Coco Gauff: form and statistics
Clay has been Gauff's domain as she tries for her first Roland Garros title. At 21, she stands at World No. 2 ranking with a 26-6 record for 2025 and 15-3 on clay alone, with final appearances in Madrid and Rome. Coco is into her fifth French Open quarterfinal straight after a 6-0, 7-5 win over Ekaterina Alexandrova on June 2, converting 48.9% of break points in 1 hour and 27 minutes (Olympics.com, June 2). Gauff's clay statistics showcase service games won at 66.7%, while return games are at 50%, placing her second in break points won. Her Paris record stands at 24-5, with a runner-up finish in 2022. Her consistency is what became the hot topic on social media, although a few mention her 55 unforced errors in Rome (Reuters, May 18). Gauff said, "I'm more mature now—I know how to grind on clay" (Reuters, June 3). Can her defense withstand the hard-hitting onslaught of Keys?
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Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff Head-to-Head Statistics
Keys leads 3-2, their sole clay-court meeting going to Gauff in Madrid in 2024 by 6-0, 6-1 (Texarkana Gazette, May 23). Indeed, mine was the last meeting, that Madrid thrashing, so Gauff has the edge on Paris record (24-5). Four of five winner in two sets, averaging 19 games. Posts on X highlight the dominance of Keys of late, with fans divided-this side rooting for her "big-moment magic," the other for Gauff's clay form (@vmainard, June 2). There will be an interesting contest in this clay rematch-will power from Keys prevail, or will cementing from Gauff win?
Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff Betting Tips and Odds
- Gauff's 15-3 clay record backs Gauff to win at 1.6 odds.
- Key's 11-0 Grand Slam streak supports over 5.5 games in the first set at 1.85 odds.
- Their 19-game average leans toward over 21.5 games at 1.91 odds.
- Gauff's 48.9% break rate backs under 2.5 sets for Keys at 1.80 odds.
- Keys’ resilience suggests over 9.5 games in the second set at 1.87 odds.
Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff Match Prediction
Court Philippe Chatrier will see fireworks at noon on the 4th of June, 2025, as the French Open quarterfinals shall unfurl a dramatic clash between Madison Keys (2.704) and Coco Gauff (1.6). With a 9-3 record on clay and a 6-3, 7-5 win over Baptiste, Keys is in fine gritty form, her first-serve points winning ratio standing at 72.0%. On the shoeside, Gauff is better with a 15-3 record on the clay, a 6-0, 7-5 win over Alexandrova, and an almost-conversion of 48.9% of break points. Keys overshadows Gauff 3-2 in their H2H, but the prestige of Gauff in Paris turns the tide. Gauff is expected to win the match, with Keys taking the fencing of the third.
Below are the top betting tips for the match:
Prediction: Gauff wins 2-1 @ 3.92 odds on Bet365
Bet Tip: Over 21.5 games @ 1.91 odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Gauff to win @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet
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