Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin: Prediction for the Match on May 31, 2025
The simmering rivalry continues on May 31 in the second-round clay-court showdown between Madison Keys (WTA 8) and Sofia Kenin (WTA 30). The American power player comes into this meeting after a straightforward 2-0 victory over Katie Boulter, while her compatriot saw one-sided action herself against Victoria Azarenka, also prevailing 2-0.
Keys trades favorite at 1.275, with Kenin at 3.24, though his 4-1 head-to-head record—most recently in the 2022 Australian Open—is somehow more intriguing. Keys' clay aspirations run deep after bagging her Australian Open title, while Kenin, a former finalist, wants to grasp the crown once more.
The big-hitter runs the show, or will the underdog strike back? Delve into the stats, form guide, and picks for this clay-court affair!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Madison Keys: form and statistics
Keys storms into Parisian clay like an American thunderbolt, her scorcher of a serve set to irrevocably damage any Kenin challenge! WTA No 8, Keys sports a 5-3 formline which includes a 2-0 win over Katie Boulter on May 29—6-1, 6-3—with Keys winning 79 percent of first serve points and converting 5 break points while her single double-fault exhibited control.
This year, in clay races, she is holding a 7-3 record, winning 66.8 percent of first serve points and 75 percent of tiebreaks, whereas 39 percent break point conversion would do with a little sharpening. She is now 30, powered by the victory of the 2025 Australian Open, and has dropped only 7 games in two rounds here, admitting to EssentiallySports that she's "added shape to shots" for clay.
Her 24-6 tally this year tops Kenin's 19-11, and the X crowd is buzzing about her supremacy. Will this thunderbolt, with a 9-match Slam streak on her shoulders, strike Kenin down, or will the plucky underdog weather the storm?
🇺🇸 Sofia Kenin: form and statistics
American firecracker Kenin performed her entrance into Court Suzanne Lenglen, an entrance promisingly propped by her scrappy spirit for a comeback bid versus Keys. Ranked WTA 30, Kenin's 6-4 record includes a 2-0 win over Victoria Azarenka on May 29, 7-6, 6-4, winning 73% of first-serve points while converting three break points, but there are those three double faults that betray the pressure when it creeps on.
Her clay record is 9-4 this year; she has won 64.9% of the first-serve points and 67% of the tiebreaks, compared to Keys' 54% conversion on break points. Now 26 years old and a finalist at the French Open in 2020, the 26-year-old has not paid much attention to success lately.
An 82-point outburst against Azarenka calls for a fight. She told Tennis Tonic she was "searching for best tennis," and some drop shots from her surprised X. Can this American firecracker, in spite of a tough season, explode past Keys, or will her previous defeats put out the spark?
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Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin Head-to-Head Statistics
Madison Keys leads Sofia Kenin 4-1, with the last of these encounters being a 6-7, 7-5 win for Keys at the 2022 Australian Open. On clay, Kenin's 9-4 record and 54% break point conversion challenge Keys' 7-3 and 39%, with Kenin's 67% in tiebreak wins slimming to Keys' 75. In their meeting at the 2019 Italian Open, Kenin took it 6-3, 6-4, but Keys has somewhat had the reign since then.
On X, fans debate the chance of an upset from Kenin, considering her finals run in 2020. Will the thunderbolt try to extend her reign on Court Suzanne Lenglen, or can the firecracker relight their rivalry?
Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin Betting Tips and Odds
- Kenin’s 54% and Keys’ 39% break point conversions suggest over 20.5 games at 1.92 odds.
- Key's 66.8% first-serve points won backs Keys -3.5 games at 1.669 odds.
- Kenin’s 3.9 and Keys’ 1.8 double faults/match on clay support over 4.5 total double faults at 1.88 odds.
- Kenin’s 3.9 and Keys’ 1.8 double faults/match on clay support over 4.5 total double faults at 1.88 odds.
- Kenin’s 67% and Keys’ 75% tiebreak wins back over 0.5 tiebreaks at 1.85 odds.
- Kenin’s 67% break points saved vs Keys’ 39% converted backs over 6.5 total breaks at 1.90 odds.
Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin Match Prediction
The Suzanne Lenglen Courtgie will be set for a clay-court duel as Madison Keys, with an oddsmaker's favoritude of 1.275, takes on Sofia Kenin at the thrilling R32 stage of French Open 2025. Keys' 5-3 run and 2-0 record against Boulter (79% points won on first serve, 5 breaks) speak to power, leading her 7-3 clay record and 9-match Slam streak. Kenin's 6-4 streak and 2-0 record against Azarenka (73% points won on first serve) suggest fight, while her 9-4 clay record and 54% break point conversion present further danger.
Keys has a 4-1 advantage head-to-head, including the 2022 clash, but Kenin's 2019 clay win is well worth remembering. Keys' consistent form should see her through, but Kenin may cling on with scrappy play.
Below are the top picks for the match:-
Prediction: Keys to win in straight sets @ 1.90 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Over 20.5 games @ 1.92 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Keys -3.5 games @ 1.669 Odds on Bet365
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