Mattia Bellucci vs Jack Draper: Prediction and odds on the Match on 26 May 2025
The 2025 French Open opens on May 25th with an engaging Round of 128 encounter at Roland Garros between Mattia Bellucci from Italy (ATP 68) and Jack Draper from Great Britain (ATP 5). Draper is favored around the 1.008 mark after exhibiting an 8-2 form recently and making a run to the Madrid Open final, while Bellucci, with an almost opposite 3-7 form, is the underdog at 16.00.
Adding spice to the clay clash, Draper leads their head-to-head 1-0. Will Draper, with deep run expectations, triumph, or will Bellucci lean on his Rotterdam semifinal performances to rise to the occasion?
We present a deep case based on the stats, trends, and recent news to help round out the overview and place the most accurate bets for this first-round encounter-welcome aboard!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci: form and statistics
Mattia Bellucci enters the clay courts of Roland Garros with the resolve of a gladiator, his service being his weapon forged in battle. An ATP 68-ranker, Bellucci comes with a 3-7 form and a 3-9 clays record in 2025. His 4-6, 2-6 loss to Pedro Martinez in Rome R128 showcased 0 aces, 4 double faults, 74% first serve, 60% first serve points won, 4 out of 5 break points saved, and 1 break converted.
His 2025 clay stats, which have him at 60% first serve, 63.3% first serve points won, 86.8% second serve, 4.2 aces per match, 3.2 double faults per match, 46% break points saved, 33% break points converted, and 0% tiebreak wins, are not exactly awe-inspiring.
Those stats notwithstanding, he looked good in Rotterdam after upsetting Daniil Medvedev to reach the semifinals; in fact, in his last six ATP matches, he's only managed to come out victorious once. Up against Draper, Bellucci's 4.2 aces/match might give the Brit some problems, but it's that consistency that has been hard to come by so far on this Tour.
🇬🇧 Jack Draper: form and statistics
Jack Draper steps onto the Roland Garros clay like a modern knight, ready to prevail with his powerful game over the red dirt. ATP-ranked No. 5, Draper enters with an 8-2 form and a 9-3 clay record in 2025. His recent loss against Carlos Alcaraz in the Rome QF, 4-6, 4-6, saw Draper having 1 ace and 2 double faults, a 68% first serve, 56% first serve points won, 9 of 14 break points saved, and 2 finally converted.
His 2025 stats on clay read as 61.8% for first serve, 70.4% for first serve points won, 88.8% for second serve, 3.7 aces per match, 2.9 double faults per match, 69% break points saved, 32% break points converted, and 83% wins in tiebreaks. Draper's clay rise cannot be doubted with him winning Indian Wells and making it to the final in Madrid—defeating both Alcaraz and Rune on the way. Draper takes a 1-0 H2H record over Bellucci and will go for domination with his baseline power and mentality.
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Mattia Bellucci vs Jack Draper: Head-to-Head Statistics
Jack Draper leads the charge with a first game victory over Mattia Bellucci in the Tokyo WTA 500-2, 2024. Draper has an altogether strong serve and good returns as 70.4% points were scored on first serves on clay versus Bellucci's 63.3%. Draper's win on clay stands at 9-3, with an 83% tiebreak success rate overshadowing Bellucci, who is 3-9 on clay with zero percent in tiebreaks. Bellucci's 4.2 aces per match can stretch rallies while Draper's 69% break-point saves grant him the upper hand.
This R128 clash sets Draper's roaring ascent against Bellucci's unyielding spirit, with history on the Brit's side.
Mattia Bellucci vs Jack Draper Betting Tips and Odds
- Draper’s 9-3 clay record and 70.4% first serve points won make him a lock at 1.008 odds
- His 4.2 aces/match on clay offers value for over 3.5 aces at 1.85 odds.
- Draper’s 6-4, 6-2 H2H win suggests under 29.5 games (1.82 Odds).
- Draper’s 9-3 clay form supports the -9.5 games handicap at 2.13 odds.
- His 46% break point saves make +9.5 games a viable bet at 1.68 odds.
Mattia Bellucci vs Jack Draper Match Prediction
An overwhelming favorite is Jack Draper (1.008), with a 9-3 clay record, 70.4% of points won on his first serve, and 1-0 H2H against Mattia Bellucci (16.00).
Bellucci’s 3-9 clay performance and 0% in tiebreak victories weaken against Draper’s 83% in tiebreaks and 69% in saving break points, albeit 4.2 aces on average per match.
Draper’s Indian Wells title and Madrid final—where he defeated Alcaraz—outweigh Bellucci’s Rotterdam run into the present-day, quite troubled. Draper should edge his opponent in straight sets with his baseline power.
Below are top picks for the match:
Match Prediction: Draper in 3 sets @ 1.60 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Draper -9.5 games @ 2.13 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Under 29.5 games @ 1.82 Odds on Bet365
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