Mirra Andreeva vs Cristina Bucsa Prediction: Can Bucsa Upset Andreeva in R128?

Russia
Russia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
27 May 2025 12:00
Spain
Spain
Tennis, Roland Garros, French Open, Paris, France, R128
27 May 2025, 12:00
Court Suzanne, Lenglen, Paris, France 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
26 May 2025
18:31
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Andreeva -6 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Mirra Andreeva vs Cristina Bucsa: Prediction for the Match on May 27, 2025

The Round of 128 at Roland Garros begins the clay season in the French Open 2025. It will feature No. 6 Andreeva of Russia facing off against No.98 Bucsa of Spain. 

Andreeva comes into the tournament with a 7-3 overall record and a semifinal run in Rome and is favored to win the match at 1.079, while Bucsa is trying to bounce back from a Strasbourg qualifier loss with a record of 3-5 and 7.9 odds. Having never faced each other, this maiden clay clash pits rising stardom with hard-bitten resilience.

The 6th seed will be going far; Bucsa will have the guts to defy her 2-7 clay record. Our analysis of stats and trends yields some good betting picks for this encounter.

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Mirra Andreeva takes flight on the Roland Garros clay like a Russian whirlwind. WTA No. 6 at 18 years, she is barely getting started with a 7-3 match form and 7-3 clay record for 2025. Her recent 6-4, 7-6 loss to Coco Gauff in Rome QFs saw 0 aces, 3 double faults, first serve at 56%, first serve points won 50%, break points saved 3 out of 7, and break points converted 2. 

Her 2025 clay court statistics were 63.1% first serve, 65.5% first serve points won, 85.5% second serve, 1.6 aces per match, 3.6 double faults per match, 71% break points saved and 61% converted, 0% tiebreak win. She has 19 main-draw wins this year alone, along with a semifinal run here in 2024; movement and patience on clay make Andreeva dangerous but her service consistency will be tested by Bucsa.

Cristina Bucsa steps on the Roland Garros clay with the poise of a Spanish matador, her very being set to resist every stroked ball. Ranked WTA 98, Bucsa is in with a 3-5 form and a 2-5 clay record in 2025. During her last 7-5, 3-6, and 3-6 defeat to Renata Zarazua in the Strasbourg qualifier, Bucsa had 1 ace, 5 double faults, a 59% first serve, 55% first serve points won rate, saved 14 out of 21 break points, and converted 5 break points from her opponent. A gaze upon 2025 clay stats reveals the following: 61.5% first serve, 60.8% first serve points won, 84.5% second serve, 1.3 aces per match, 4.9 double faults per match, 62% breakpoints saved, 49% breakpoints converted, and 0% tiebreak wins. Although a miserable clay season, Bucsa's doubles prowess changes the narrative (Madrid 2024 do stand as a testimony to this on clay), so the 2-5 on the singles clay circuit has to be changed.

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Before this R128 showdown, Mirra Andreeva and Cristina Bucsa never clashed, and hence, there is no build-up to this confrontation. While Andreeva has a 7-3 record on clay and converted 61 percent of break points, Bucsa finds herself on the other side, with 2-5 on clay and converting 49 percent of break points. On the other hand, Andreeva saves 71 percent of break points compared to Bucsa's 62. Neither player has won a tiebreak on clay this season, which might incline the result toward sets. Andreeva should be given clear consideration with her 19-3 record this season and semifinal berth in Roland Garros 2024, but Bucsa with her 62 percent break point saves on clay might prove a stumbling block to the Andreeva's consistency. 

  • Andreeva's 7-3 clay record and 65.5% first serve points won make her a lock at 1.079 odds.
  • Bucsa's 62% break point saves support +6.5 games at 1.88 odds.
  • Their recent sets (e.g., Andreeva’s 7-6 tiebreak) suggest under 18.5 games (1.76 odds).
  • Andreeva’s 71% break point saves back the -6.5 games handicap at 1.88 odds.
  • Bucsa's 41% first serve return points won offers value for over 2.5 break points converted at 1.80 odds.

Mirra Andreeva (1.079), having a clay court record of 7-3, a break point conversion rate of 61%, and a Grand Slam semifinal at Roland Garros this year, naturally things stand in her favor against Bucsa (7.9). Bucsa has not been all that good on clay, with a 2-5 record, though with 4.9 double faults per match she might yet prolong rallies against Andreeva, who has a 19-3 season record and can save 62% of break points. 

Andreeva's semifinal loss in Rome, which involved an ace count of 0, may have showed a chink in the armor, but her excellent footwork and patience should see her through. Expect Andreeva to take this one in two, playing off her big ranking and good form.

Below are the top betting tips for this clash:-

Match Prediction: Andreeva -6.5 games @ 1.63 Odds on 1xbet

Bet Tip: Andreeva -6.5 games @ 1.88 Odds on Betway 

Main Bet Tip: Under 18.5 games @ 1.76 Odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Andreeva -6 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,88
Bet Type Andreeva -6.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Under 18.5 games
Bet Now!

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