Spain vs Czechia Prediction: Spain 20% Chance to Shock Czechia

Spain vs Czechia: Prediction for the Match on November 20, 2025

The SuperTennis Arena in Bologna will host an exciting match at 10:00 CET (12:00 MSK) as Spain, without their star player Carlos Alcaraz, faces a determined Czechia team. Spain enters this quarterfinal as underdogs following Alcaraz's withdrawal due to hamstring edema, just days after his disappointment in the Turin final. Coach David Ferrer will rely on the same depth that fueled an impressive comeback from 0–2 to 3–2 against Denmark in the qualifiers. 

This matchup is classic Davis Cup drama: six-time champions Spain, renowned for their resilience, will compete against a fearless Czech squad led by Tomas Berdych, eager to secure the Salad Bowl for the first time since 2013. With memories of the 2012 final still fresh and a chance for seeding in Turin 2026 at stake, national pride is on the line. Spain is given a 20% implied probability to advance (odds of 3.94), whereas Czechia is favored at 1.192. With a 2025 indoor hard record of Spain 2–1 and Czechia 3–1 (ATP), this clash promises intensity and excitement.

🇪🇸 Team Spain: Form and Statistics

Spain has consistently defied expectations, as evidenced by their six Davis Cup titles that demonstrate how depth can triumph over individual talent. Their recent qualifier in September embodies this spirit: despite trailing 0-2 at home against Denmark, they clinched three consecutive victories, culminating in Pablo Carreño Busta's decisive win with a score of 6-4, 7-5, 6-3. Captain David Ferrer has assembled a strong team including Jaume Munar (ranked No.55), Pedro Martínez, Pablo Carreño Busta, and doubles expert Marcel Granollers, currently ranked No.6 in the world. Their performance in the last five ties is notable: victories against Denmark (3-2) and Switzerland (3-1), losses to Croatia in the quarterfinals (1-3), and Bosnia (4-0), and a defeat against Serbia (0-3). 

🗣️“We don’t need one leader; we have a team that fights until the last ball,” Ferrer remarked following the thrilling comeback against Denmark. Since 2023, the doubles pairing of Granollers and Martínez boasts a record of 12-3 in Davis Cup matches, winning 85% of their live rubbers. With a year-to-date Davis Cup record of 5-2, the pressure is high; reaching the semifinals without Alcaraz would mark a remarkable chapter in Spain's Davis Cup history.

🇨🇿 Team Czechia: Form and Statistics

Czechia enters the competition as a formidable force on indoor hard courts, fueled by a strong belief in their potential to secure the championship for the first time since 2013. Their recent 3–2 victory over the USA during the September qualifiers marked a significant achievement: Jiri Lehečka defeated Taylor Fritz, while Jakub Mensik triumphed over Frances Tiafoe with a decisive score of 6-1, 6-4 in the pivotal match. Under the leadership of Captain Tomas Berdych, the team features Jiri Lehečka (ranked No. 18), Jakub Mensik (No. 26), Tomáš Macháč, and doubles expert Adam Pavlásek, all of whom excel in indoor conditions. Their last five ties reflect a strong performance: victories against the USA (3-2), South Korea (4-0), and Ukraine (4-1), with one loss to Australia in the 2024 quarterfinals (1-3) and another win against Poland in 2023 (3-1).

🗣️"This group is hungry and plays without fear," Berdych noted following the USA win, as Czechia maintains a year-to-date Davis Cup record of 7–2, including 3–1 on hard surfaces. A victory in this event would represent the biggest success for Czechia since the Stepanek–Berdych era.

Spain vs Czechia Head-to-Head Statistics

H2H: Spain 5–4 Czechia overall (ATP).

The most notable encounters between these teams have been in the finals: Spain defeated Czechia 5–0 in Barcelona in 2009, while Czechia triumphed 3–2 in Prague in 2012, with Stepanek emerging as the standout player. On hard courts, Czechia has secured victories in three of the last four matchups. Additionally, over 2.5 sets have been played in six of the nine previous ties.

Spain vs Czechia Betting Tips and Odds

• Czechia ML @ 1.192 (1xbet) – Alcaraz absence too big a gap on indoor hard.
• Over 2.5 total sets – Rivalry history and Spanish fight usually forces doubles.
• Czechia -1.5 sets – Lehečka and Mensik likely take both singles.

Spain vs Czech Match Prediction

Czechia advances 2–0.

In the first set, Lehečka will secure a victory against Munar with a score of 6-4, 6-4. In the second set, Mensik will triumph over Carreño Busta, winning 6-3, 6-4. 

An upset can only occur if Czechia were to lose five or more service games in the tie, which seems unlikely given their impressive performance in indoor matches. As a result, Czechia will advance to the semifinals, establishing themselves as serious contenders, while Spain exits the tournament with pride, lacking the necessary firepower.

Top 3 Recommended Bets

Czechia ML @ 1.192 odds on Betway

Under 2.5 sets @ 1.63 odds on 1xbet (odd is speculative) 

Czechia ML @ 1.192 odds on Bet365