Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction: in a Long Match, Alex Will Win

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul: Prediction for the Match on August 31, 2025

As part of the last 16 round of the US Open tennis championship, Alexander Bublik, the 24th-ranked player in the world, will be facing off against Tommy Paul, who's currently the 14th best in the world. The two have crossed paths six times before in their careers, and so far, Paul has won five of those matches. The odds are stacked against Bublik, as the bookies have him as the underdog in this match. But let's see if they're right about that.

Alexander Bublik: form and statistics

After his amazing win at the Halle event, Bublik crashed out of Wimbledon. He lost to the Spaniard, Munyar, in five sets in the opening round, even though the guy from Spain can't really be called a tough opponent. After the grass-court part of the season, Bublik became the winner of two clay-court events in Gstaad and Kitzbuhel. In New York, he defeated Croatian Marin Cilic in three sets and the Australian Skulke in the same number of sets. The score was 6-3, 6-3, and 6-3 in Bublik's favor, and the whole match lasted an hour and forty-five minutes. Bublik hit 16 aces, had six double faults, and won 84 percent of the points on his first serve and 44 percent on his second serve. His stats were 35/50 in terms of winners and unforced errors, and 51-34 in his favor in terms of points won and points lost.

Tommy Paul: form and statistics

For the American, New York was the second toughest tournament after the grass season ended, before which he played two matches in Cincinnati. In NYC, the American beat Dane Moller and Portugal's Borges. Against Borges, it was a close match, with the score at 7-6, 6-3, 5-7, 5-5, and then 7-5 in favor of Tommy. The match lasted for 4 hours and 28 minutes, and during that time, the American served 11 aces, with only six double faults. He won 70% of points on his first serve and 57% on his second serve. His reception stats were 30% / 62%, and his winner/forehand stats were 46 / 61.

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Match Prediction 31 August 2025

Despite the stats on face-to-face matches, the bookies are backing the Bagel, and we have to agree with them. Alexander has really improved over the last year, winning three ATP titles and looking mighty confident out on the court in New York. However, Tommy only just made it past the third round at the Major after a tough fight against Portuguese Borges, in just five sets - which is no mean feat. As for who will win overall, we're not so sure, but we expect it to be a long and drawn-out battle.

Our main prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 1.80 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: TO 39.5 for a coefficient 1.80 in the betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: CS 3:2 for a coefficient of 5.95 in the 1xbet bookmaker.