Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction: Who Will Claim the US Open Crown at Arthur Ashe Stadium?

Belarus
Belarus
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
06 Sep 2025 23:00
USA
USA
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Final 
Date: 06 Sept 2025
Kickoff: 23:00
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center Flushing Meadows New York USA
Raphael George
05 Sep 2025
13:51
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Sabalenka to Win
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova: Prediction for the US Open Match on September 06, 2025

On September 6, 2025, at 23:00, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka clashes with No. 8 Amanda Anisimova in the women’s final of the US Open, Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York. This Grand Slam encounter will see Sabalenka defending her title against Anisimova's attempt to win her inaugural Major. Our full analysis looks into form, head-to-head stats, and gives betting tips on the highly competitive US Open final. Who'll get that win on Flushing Meadows? Let's go to our in-depth prediction that carries the best betting suggestions.

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The first ranked in the world and the defending US Open champion Aryna Sabalenka, enters the 2025 final with a win/loss record of 50-10 this season. The Belarusian has been almost flawless throughout New York, having lost a single set in a tough semifinal win over Jessica Pegula, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4; she also hit eight aces and 43 winners. Sabalenka, winner of three Majors, can serve fast and play aggressive baseline, and there are few players who can challenge this style. She has already been to four finals in the last five Majors but has lost the 2025 Australian Open and French Open finals. "I want to prove I learned those tough lessons," she stated after her semifinal. With a 17-0 tiebreak streak and winning 83% of matches in 2025, she is a formidable favorite. According to predictive analysis, Sabalenka’s chance of winning in front of the largest crowd ever assembled for a tennis match is 65%, and consequently, her victory at the 2024 US Open makes her the favorite in this Grand Slam final at Arthur Ashe Stadium.

Ranked eighth in the world, Amanda Anisimova is having a stellar 2025 season and is contesting her second Grand Slam final in a row after Wimbledon. She sits on 38 wins and 14 losses for the season, including a brutal almost three-hour semifinal win over Naomi Osaka 6-7(4), 7-6(3), 6-3. She also defeated Iga Swiatek, 6-4, 6-3, in the quarterfinals, redeeming an earlier loss at the Wimbledon final. "It's a dream come true," Anisimova said about her US Open run. Aggressive groundstrokes and fortitude are her tools toward a top-5 ranking. Up 73%, in 2025, Anisimova has defeated Sabalenka two times in three hard-court matches, the most recent being a 6-4, 6-2 win at the 2024 Canadian Open. The ability to mount comebacks, combined with 2.92 aces per match, makes Anisimova a terrifying underdog in the US Open final at Arthur Ashe Stadium.

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Amanda Anisimova leads Aryna Sabalenka 5-3 in their WTA head-to-head. Their latest encounter saw Anisimova win 6-4, 6-2 in the 2024 Canadian Open quarterfinals on hard courts.

  • Sabalenka to Win (1.60): Her 65% win probability and dominant US Open form make her the favorite.
  • Over 21.5 Games (1.94): Both players’ recent three-setters suggest a competitive, lengthy match.
  • Sabalenka -1.5 Games (1.512): Her power could secure a multi-game margin victory.
  • Anisimova +1.5 Games (2.317): Her head-to-head advantage ensures a close contest.
  • First Set Sabalenka (1.66): Her 63% first-set win probability reflects strong starts.

I predict Aryna Sabalenka will edge out Amanda Anisimova in the US Open 2025 final, leveraging her experience and power. Her 50-10 record, 17-0 tiebreak streak, and 43 winners against Pegula underline her dominance.

My top 3 bet picks:- 

📌Sabalenka to Win @ 1.6 odds on Bet365

📌Over 21.5 Games @ 1.94 odds on Betway 

📌First Set Sabalenka @ 1.66 odds on 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Sabalenka to Win
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Odds 1,94
Bet Type Over 21.5 Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type First Set Sabalenka
Bonus 100 EUR
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