Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova: Prediction for the Match on September 02, 2025
On the 3rd of September at the 2025 US Open, the Sabalenka vs Vondroušová quarterfinal promises to embody the age-old Tennis archetype of power-versus-craft. On one hand, we have Aryna Sabalenka, World No.1 and defending champion, who is known for her heavy serving and relentless pressure, and on the other, the former Wimbledon champion, Markéta Vondroušová, who comes in hot off a Berlin title and a shock 4th-round victory over Elena Rybakina. This preview will cover the form, H2H, insightful betting approaches, and a strong prediction for the Flushing Meadows clash.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka (form & statistics)
The World No. 1, Aryna Sabalenka, lands in New York with a solid 50-10 record for 2025, all of it coming on hard courts, fueled by a potent serve, aggressive baseline stroke play, and sharp returns. As fresh as a 6–1, 6–4 fourth-round win over Cristina Bucsa at the US Open, in which she did not face a single break point and only required about 73 minutes on court, her run of consecutive Grand Slam quarter-finals and US Open quarter-finals now both stand at a remarkable 12 and 5, respectively. Sabalenka’s recent victories also include a 7–5, 6–1 win over Markéta Vondroušová in Cincinnati, highlighting the positive matches she enjoys on hard courts. Superior serve percentages, a plethora of big-match minutes, and the defending champion and top seed title put Sabalenka’s experience front and centre. Given her aggressive play style and her ability to pressure and convert for a clear favourite in the quarter-finals, Sabalenka is the overwhelming favourite in this quarterfinal.
🇨🇿 Marketa Vondrousova (form & statistics)
Dealing with injuries, the 26-year-old Czech Markéta Vondroušová (world No. 60) has made a strong return this year. Vondroušová is 14–8 for 2025 and in June she won the Berlin Tennis Open after defeating Wang Xinyu in a three-set final, which marked her first title since Wimbledon 2023. She dealt with a protracted break due to shoulder and wrist injuries in 2024, and as a result of that hiatus, she had to re-master movement and left-handed angles on tour. In the US Open’s fourth round, she defeated the No. 9 seed, Elena Rybakina, 6-4, 5-7, 6-2, raining down 13 aces, including serving out the match three in a row, and now faces Sabalenka in the quarterfinals. Vondroušová’s slicing to low trajectory, variety of shots, and court craft present a lot of strategy challenges for her opponents, who are power players; and although she may not have the serve consistency to match the higher seeds, her timing and her form in the tournament make her a danger.
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👥Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Head-to-Head Statistics
Sabalenka leads H2H 5–4. Their last meeting was in Cincinnati (Aug 9, 2025), a 7–5, 6–1 Sabalenka win; Sabalenka has won four of the last five hard-court meetings between them.
🏷️Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Betting Tips and Odds
- Aryna Sabalenka to win:- This is due to her current ranking of World No.1, defending great form on hard-courts and being the defending champion.
- Sabalenka to win 2-0:- the top seed has had hard-court meetings recently with the other players, and has won 4 out of 5 of them against the other tournament players.
- Vondroušová to win a set:- head to head 5-4, champion in Berlin, and momentum in the tournament suggests that she can push a set.
- First set more than 9.5 games:- their matches tend to get started rather close (Cincinnati 7-5).
- Combined aces 10+:- Vondroušová served 13 aces against Rybakina, and Sabalenka is no stranger to multiple-ace performances; their combined serving power often surpasses this benchmark.
🎯Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Match Prediction
Sabalenka looks set to take this one. The New York hard courts accentuate her serve and high-impact power baseline game, giving her crucial advantages. Her recent 7–5, 6–1 triumph in Cincinnati also indicates that she can effectively counter Vondroušová’s change of pace variety.
My 3 best bet tips:-
📌Sabalenka 2–0 @ 1.81 odds on Bet365
📌Vondroušová to win a set @ 1.89 odds on Betway
📌First set over 9.5 games @ 2.09 odds on 1xbet
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