Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousova Prediction: Power meets craft as Rybakina and Vondroušová battle for a quarterfinal spot

Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
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01 Sep 2025 03:40
Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Round 16
Date: 31 August 2025
Kickoff: 18:00
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
Raphael George
30 Aug 2025
09:56
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 2,17
Bet Type Rybakina to win in straight sets
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Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousova: Prediction for the Match on September 01, 2025

At the US Open Round of 16, we have a captivating match-up: Elena Rybakina and Markéta Vondroušová, set to face off at Flushing Meadows. World No. 10 and No. 9 seed Rybakina enters the tournament in strong form. Meanwhile, Vondroušová, No. 60 in the rankings, will look to her stylish and tactical game to disrupt the favourties. This match on the hardcourts promises memorable drama, shifts in momentum, and hard-fought intensity, as a spot in the quarterfinals is on the line.

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With a world ranking of No. 10 and a seeding of No. 9 at the US Open, Elena Rybakina shows up in New York like one of the favorites to win the title. Her performance has been dominant so far, as shown in her 6-1, 6-2 victory over the 2021 champion Emma Raducanu in the third round, during which she struck 32 winners and won 80% of her first serve points. The Kazakh’s performances across the tours have been consistent in 2025, culminating in her notable performances in the Masters tournaments. Social media has been fanning the flame about her ruthless efficiency, while after-match interviews have shown her grit to go beyond the Round of 16 at Flushing Meadows. The return of her longtime coach, Stefano Vukov, to her box has been remarked on in reports and brings some comfort to her team. Rybakina, with a powerful serve and the ability to control the pace of the points very early, enters this Round of 16 matchup as the unquestionable initiator of the action and one of the tournament’s most threatening seeds. 

After Marketa Vondrousova triumphed at Wimbledon in 2023, she batted injuries aside and is again demonstrating her grit by making her way toward the Round of 16 in New York. Positioned at sixty in the world rankings, the Czech left-hander pulled off an upset against the number seven seed, Jasmine Paolini, in the third round, winning 7-6(4), 6-1. Her deft slices, allures with variety, and changes of pace effectively dismantled one of 2025’s hottest players. The tactical guy from the Czech Republic, known to be unpredictable, especially in breaking the rhythm, is widely appreciated on social media. Her victory over Paolini garnered praise for the clever way it was engineered. In her post-match press conference, Vondrousova mentioned getting back to her confidence and embracing the opportunity to compete once more on the sport’s biggest stages. Her performance in New York showcases her ability to take on top seeds even with a lower ranking. Rybakina could face a test of patience and resolve, given Vondrousova’s shot-making and ability to absorb pace, which could frustrate the Kazakh.

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Rybakina and Vondroušová share a 1–1 head-to-head record. Vondroušová won their first meeting at the 2021 Kremlin Cup (6-4, 6-4), while Rybakina responded in Rome 2023 (6-3, 6-3).

  • Rybakina to win in straight sets: She has not dropped a set this US Open, including a 6-1, 6-2 win over Raducanu. (2.17 odds)
  • Under 23.5 total games: Both players’ last wins ended in under 21 games, pointing toward concise sets. (1.6 odds)
  • Rybakina to win the first set: She has opened strongly in New York, losing just six games in her last two first sets. (1.6 odds)
  • Over 9.5 games in second set: Vondroušová often adjusts, as seen in her Paolini win where she surged after the first set. (1.88 odds)

I'm leaning towards Rybakina for this Round of 16 match. The brute force that she commands on the hardcourt is effective, and the way she took down Raducanu is a really good sign that she's going to be at her best when it counts. While I imagine that Vondroušová’s crafty and smart methods that involve slicing will pose a challenge to Rybakina, I don’t see her being able to offer stubborn resistance for a long time.

My top 3 betting tips: 

📌 Rybakina to win in straight sets @ 2.17 odds on Bet365

📌 Under 23.5 total games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet

📌 Rybakina to win the first set @ 1.60 odds on Betway

Odds
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Odds 2,17
Bet Type Rybakina to win in straight sets
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 23.5 total games
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Rybakina to win the first set
Bonus 250 USD
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