Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur: Prediction for the Match on September 02, 2025
The 2025 US Open pits two in-form contenders against each other, as No. 25 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime looks to claim a semifinal berth against No. 8 Alex de Minaur. After a smooth straight-sets win over Andrey Rublev, Auger-Aliassime set has De Minaur set up after he cruised past qualifier Leandro Riedi to claim his sixth Grand Slam quarterfinal. Expect the Canadian to attempt to dictating pace and playing first-strike tennis against the Australian’s Duke counterpunching and elite movement in a New York primetime setting. Our preview covers recent results, H2H, and verified betting angles before delivering a clear prediction.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime (form & statistics)
Felix Auger-Aliassime enters this tournament ranked No. 27 and seeded 25 after a comeback season 2025 (29-18, with titles in Adelaide and Montpellier). He opened this US Open by defeating Billy Harris 6-4, 7-6(10-8), 6-4, followed by wins over Roman Safiullin 6-1, 7-6(4), 7-6(5), Alexander Zverev 4-6, 7-6(7), 6-4, 6-4, and Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-3, 6-4. The match against Rublev saw him hit 13 aces and serve assertively when it mattered most. This is his sixth career major quarterfinal and his first at the US Open since the semifinals in 2021, marking a much-anticipated return to form in New York. His combination of a heavy first serve, forehand eagerness, and more polished tie-break nerves has become clear this entire fortnight with three tie-break victories in his first three rounds and with the momentum, serving metrics, and self-belief he has against top players.
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur (form & statistics)
Coming in as the No. 8 seed, Alex de Minaur sports a 37-15 record this season, including a title in Washington, D.C., captured earlier this year. His Flushing Meadows journey includes a straight-sets victory against Chris O’Connell in the opener, a controlled performance to close out Jakub Mensík in the second round, a third-round win courtesy of Daniel Altmaier's retirement, and a 6-3, 6-2, 6-1 dismantling of Leandro Riedi in the fourth round. Around 90 minutes was enough time to take care of Riedi and demonstrate de Minaur’s sharp returning and court coverage. This is his sixth Grand Slam quarterfinal, and he has yet to win one after being 0-5 in quarterfinal matchups at the US Open 2020 against Thiem, Roland Garros 2024 against Zverev, US Open 2024 against Draper, Wimbledon 2024 walkover against Djokovic, and Australian Open 2025 against Sinner. He also has yet to claim a set in any completed quarterfinals. Still, the consistency on hard courts and the more aggressive play in 2025 has raised his potential.
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👥 Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur Head-to-Head Statistics
Auger-Aliassime leads 3–2 H2H. Their most recent meeting came at Rome 2024, where de Minaur prevailed 6-7, 6-4, 6-4.
🏷️ Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur Betting Tips and Odds
- Over 30.5 total games — all four of Auger-Aliassime’s matches here hit 31+ games.
- Tie-break played (Yes) — FAA has already contested three tie-breaks this tournament.
- Auger-Aliassime over 9.5 aces — he struck 13 versus Rublev; serve peaking.
- De Minaur over 4.5 aces — produced 9 against Riedi; improved first-strike intent.
- Either player to win 2+ sets — projects a long, competitive match given form, H2H balance, and FAA’s high game totals.
🎯 Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur Match Prediction
I look forward to a quarterfinal match where the shifts in momentum will be sharp and the victory will be decided by the slimmest margins. I think Auger-Aliassime’s serve and forehand combo from the baseline and his proven tie-break nerve give him a slight advantage, but I expect de Minaur’s return pressure to extend the match to a late fourth or fifth set.
My best 3 bet tips:-
📌Over 37 total games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet
📌Tie-break played (Yes) @ 1.6 odds on Bet365
📌Total Over 4.5 sets (Yes) @ 2.89 odds on Betway
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