Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction for the Match on September 04, 2025

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04 Sep 2025 03:10
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Quarterfinals
Date: 03 Sept 2025
Kickoff: 18:00
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center Flushing Meadows–Corona Park, Queens, New York City
Raphael George
02 Sep 2025
11:57
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Under 35.5 total games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction for the Match on September 03, 2025

An anticipated Flushing Meadows hallmark is the all-Italian US Open quarter-final showdown between Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti, scheduled for September 4, 2025. World No. 1 Sinner, the reigning champion, has been scorching on hard courts this year. Seeded 10th, Musetti comes in on the heels of notable victories and renewed confidence following a solid clay-court campaign. This brief preview aims to concisely highlight crucial aspects, including the Form, H2H, recent match statistics, and surface history of the players, to give telecomasia.net readers proper clarity on the match along with well-informed betting suggestions.

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Coming into the U.S. Open iterations, the world No. 1 and defending champion, Jannik Sinner, has gained a lot of momentum on hard courts. The 24-year-old Italian has further polished his Grand Slam achievements in 2025 by retaining the Australian Open and capturing his first Wimbledon title, bringing his total to four. At the 2025 U.S. Open, Sinner started strong with a 6-1, 6-1, 6-2 win over Vit Kopriva, followed by 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 against Alexei Popyrin. He then made a four-set comeback against Denis Shapovalov (5-7, 6-4, 6-3, 6-3) and finished with an authoritative 6-1, 6-1, 6-1 night-session victory over Alexander Bublik. Sinner’s win over Bublik extended his streak of consecutive hard-court Grand Slam match victories to 25, cementing his reputation as a big stage performer. Sinner is the unquestionable favorite in New York, thanks to his newly honed serve, proactive baseline depth, and match resilience, and a critical strength he holds heading into the quarters is his pace and finish in points.

The No. 10 seed, Lorenzo Musetti, is the less predictable of the two Italians — a one-handed backhand and great touch with the ball can cause trouble to the opposition. With strong runs on clay and at Masters events, the 23-year old Musetti achieved a personal best ATP ranking No. 6 in June 2025 and is showing New York form. His performance at the New York Open has been strong, defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in four sets and later beating David Goffin 6-4, 6-0, 6-2. He also won against Jaume Munar 6-3, 6-1, 6-0 to reach the U.S. Open quarter-finals. Although Musetti's notable achievements have been on clay — a Roland-Garros semi-final in 2025 and prior progression at Wimbledon — his recent matches suggest a greater hard-court tenacity. His fitness and a former leg injury from Roland-Garros cause slight concerns, but he remains a real threat to any top seed due to his ability to combine variety and short-ball, which allows him to challenge even the best returners.

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Sinner leads the H2H 2–0: he beat Musetti in Antwerp (Oct 2021) and in Monte-Carlo (Apr 2023 — 6-2, 6-2).

  • Jannik Sinner to win — World No.1, defending US Open champion; demolished Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1 and carries a 25-match hard-court Grand-Slam streak.
  • Sinner in straight sets — leads H2H 2-0 and often closes matches quickly; value if favourite price is short.
  • Under 36.5 total games — recent matches for both average about 29 games, pointing to short, high-tempo sets.
  • Musetti to win a set — his one-handed backhand and drop-shots create disruption; useful hedge.
  • Over 8.5 double faults — Musetti averages 3+ per match; Sinner occasionally pushes high-risk serves under pressure.

For Jannik Sinner, I predict a night marked by focus and intensity. Already, his victory over Alexander Bublik stands out, and I take particular note of the string of three consecutive matches he has won without conceding a single set. This combined with the streak of majors he has competed in on hard courts gives me faith that he will dictate pace and finish points swiftly. While I agree that Musetti's ability to use a variety of strokes and short-court angles will keep Sinner on his toes, my forecast is that Sinner will come out the winner without dropping a set.

My best 3 bet tips:- 

📌 Under 35.5 total games @ 1.61 odds on 1xbet

📌 Sinner to win 3-0 @ 1.71 odds on Bet365

📌 First set under 9.5 games @ 1.7 odds on Betway

Odds
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Under 35.5 total games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,71
Bet Type Sinner to win 3-0
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Odds 1,7
Bet Type First set under 9.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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