Jessica Pegula vs Ann Li Prediction: American stars Set to Battle for Quarterfinal Spot at US Open

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31 Aug 2025 18:30
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Round 16
Date: 31 Aug 2025
Kickoff: 18:00
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
Raphael George
30 Aug 2025
13:29
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Pegula to win in straight set
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Jessica Pegula vs Ann Li Prediction: Prediction for the Match on August 31, 2025

The 2025 US Open’s Round of 16 matches will feature an all-American battle between Jessica Pegula and Ann Li. Li, with a current ranking of 58, has had one of the best runs, netting an upset win against 16th seed Belinda Bencic 6-3, 6-3 in the second round. Pegula, the fourth seed, has shown great form, overcoming Victoria Azarenka 6-1, 7-5 in the third round. Both players fighting for a position in the quarterfinals will make this match very exciting.

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Going into this match, Jessica Pegula has a 40-16 record, including a 25-9 mark on hard courts, for 2025. She has looked strong at the US Open, most recently beating Victoria Azarenka 6-1, 7-5 in the third round. Her explosive baseline strokes and consistent serve have certainly propelled her forward. In her interview after the match, she noted the importance of focus and the unique demands of competing in New York. Having made the final in 2024, she is determined to improve on that this year.

At the 2025 US Open, Ann Li has shown her skill and tenacity in every match she’s played. The third round was no exception, as she completed her comeback for a 7-5, 6-3 win over Priscilla Hon. Li's success has directly correlated with her aggressive return and the pressure she exerts by taking control of rallies early. With a view back on her path so far, she stated that she still believes in her game and is eager to play against the top tier in the draws. What is clear is how well she has performed in this tournament and what this has to say about her training and will.

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Jessica Pegula and Ann Li have faced each other twice, with each player winning one match. Their most recent encounter was at the 2025 French Open, where Pegula won 6-3, 7-6(3). 

  • Pegula to win in straight sets: Given her strong hard court record and recent form, Pegula is likely to secure a straight-sets victory. (1.72 odds)
  • Total games over 20.5: Considering both players' competitive nature and recent matches, the total number of games is expected to exceed 20.5. (1.95 odds)
  • Li to win at least one set: Li's aggressive play and past success against Pegula suggest she could win a set in this encounter. (2.03 odds)
  • Pegula to win 6-3, 6-4: A straight-sets victory with a 6-3, 6-4 scoreline is a plausible outcome based on Pegula's recent performances.
  • Over 9.5 games in the first set: Both players have shown the ability to engage in extended rallies, making over 9.5 games in the first set a likely scenario. (1.37 odds)

Jessica Pegula is the favorite in this matchup, given her higher ranking and recent form. However, Ann Li's recent performances and past victory over Pegula make this encounter intriguing. 

My top 3 Bet Picks:

📌 Pegula to win in straight set @ 1.72 odds on Bet365

📌 Total games over 19.5 @ 1.64 odds on 1xbet

📌 Li to win at least one set @ 2.03 odds on Betway 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Pegula to win in straight set
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Total games over 19.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,03
Bet Type Li to win at least one set
Bonus 250 USD
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