Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munar Prediction: Musetti seeks breakthrough, Munar leans on head-to-head edge

Italy
Italy
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 Sep 2025 21:10
Spain
Spain
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Round 16
Date: 01 September 2025
Kickoff: 18:00
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center Flushing Meadows
Raphael George
31 Aug 2025
05:55
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,41
Bet Type Musetti to win & over 34.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munar: Prediction for the Match on September 01, 2025

The clash between Lorenzo Musetti and Jaume Munar in the Round of 16 of the US Open 2025 promises to deliver contrasting styles at Flushing Meadows. Musetti, the top 10 seed, takes on Munar of Spain, who surprisingly leads in their head-to-head record. This US Open preview takes a closer look at the players, their form, and their recent results, their rankings, and the betting markets for their match on Monday, September 1, 2025, at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York. This helps readers get a sharper picture of the tactical, statistical, and betting nuances before this important Round 4 match.

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With Flavio Cobolli retiring while still down 3-6, 2-6, 0-2 to him, Lorenzo Musetti (ATP No 10) advanced to the 16th round of the US Open. The Italian player has won two ATP singles titles in his career and, in June 2025, had a career-high ranking of No 6. His record this season is 25-11, a good 69% win rate. Musetti has enhanced his ability to defend on hard courts, as shown by his four-set victory in the first round against Mpetshi Perricard. This season, he is holding serve in more than 80% of games, and his first-serve win percentage is consistently above 70%. His shot arsenal — a heavy topspin forehand and an elegant one-handed backhand — makes him a tricky opponent, although he can double fault in streaks.

With the defeat of Zizou Bergs (6-1, 6-4, 6-4), Jaume Munar (ATP No. 44) has now made it to the last 16 of the US Open for the first time. In his 2025 season, the Spaniard has logged a 19-18 record, which is the best he has posted at the tour level so far. A year clay-courts specialist, Munar seems to have adjusted to hard courts, as this year marks the first time he has started winning consecutive matches on the surface at a Grand Slam. His first-serve success rate has hovered around 62% in 2025 and he has converted close to 45% of his break-point chances, stats that reflect his resolve in long rallies. While his number of aces is low compared to other big servers, Munar’s baseline consistency and physical fitness allow him to prevail in long matches.

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Jaume Munar leads the ATP head-to-head 4–1; their most recent meeting was Munar’s 2-6, 7-6(4), 7-5 win in the Hong Kong quarterfinals (3 Jan 2025).

  • Musetti to win the match — Given Munar’s head-to-head lead, it is still sensible to expect Musetti to take the match given his better serve, shotmaking, and ranking.
  • Over 38.5 total games — Long sets are probable due to Musetti’s inconsistent serve and Munar’s steady defense.
  • Munar +4.5 games spread — The Spaniard will be able to cover the spread even in a close loss thanks to the physical durability and close head-to-head history.
  • Tiebreak to occur — Since both players have a habit of failing to convert early break point opportunities, a tiebreaker is likely to happen.
  • Musetti to win in 4 sets — Given Musetti’s style of play, it makes sense for him to win, but the prediction accounts for Munar’s ability to put up a fight and win a set.

I put my faith in Lorenzo Musetti as a winner for this match, but I have a hunch that it will be fiercely contested and probably extend into a few long sets. Musetti comes in as the higher seed (ATP No. 10), and carries more momentum, having won two ATP titles. With that, he has all the pieces to take this match on the hard courts. Jaume Munar’s 4–1 head-to-head lead and his confident win in the third round of the US Open (6-1, 6-4, 6-4) means that he will never be an underdog.

My best 3 betting tips: 

📌 Musetti to win & over 34.5 games @ 2.41 odds on 1xbet 

📌 Over 37.5 total games @ 1.94 odds on Betway

📌 Munar +4.5 games (handicap) @ 1.86 odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,41
Bet Type Musetti to win & over 34.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,94
Bet Type Over 37.5 total games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,86
Bet Type Munar +4.5 games (handicap)
Bet Now!

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