Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction: Can Naomi Osaka’s Grand-Slam experience overcome Amanda Anisimova’s red-hot form at Arthur Ashe?

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05 Sep 2025 03:10
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Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Semifinals
Date: 05 Sept 2025
Kickoff: 03:10
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium New York
Raphael George
04 Sep 2025
15:19
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,891
Bet Type Osaka to win
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Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova: Prediction for the Match on September 05, 2025

Naomi Osaka and Amanda Anisimova meet in the US Open 2025 semifinals at Arthur Ashe Stadium in a clash that pits Osaka’s Grand-Slam pedigree against Anisimova’s breakthrough season. This preview checks recent form, head-to-head history, match-up stats and bookmaker markets to come up with succinct, data-based betting remarks and the clear-cut prediction for the New York semifinal.

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At 24 years of age and sitting at No. 24 by the WTA rankings, Naomi Osaka has certainly made a stirring comeback at the US Open after this quarter-final triumph over Karolína Muchová in straight sets of 6-4, 7-6(3). The four-time Grand Slam winner had really beaten Coco Gauff 6-3, 6-2 earlier in the tournament with this win, having come off winning a clay-court title at L'Open 35 de Saint-Malo, while also finishing runner-up at the National Bank Open in Montreal. Osaka’s huge serve, delivery during crucial moments, and great match fitness all have contributed severely towards her comeback ever since returning from maternity leave. Seeded 23rd in Flushing Meadows, she carries along the so-called Grand Slam pedigree with some great recent winning form and hence should never be underestimated on Arthur Ashe hard courts.

Amanda Anisimova (WTA No. 9) arrives at the US Open semifinals after a commanding quarter-final gegen Iga Świątek, 6-4, 6-3, somewhat scavenging from the one-sided finals at Wimbledon two months prior. At the age of 24, this American claimed the Doha WTA 1000 title in February 2025 — the biggest title of her career — which set her off on a period of better consistency and aggression on the baseline. Eighth seed in Flushing Meadows, Anisimova on fast courts is the type of hard returner who will attack the second serve with unwavering confidence forged in the furnace of big matches. She will try to use pace and depth to terrorize Osaka and sally forth into short high-tempo rallies.

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Amanda Anisimova leads Naomi Osaka 2–0 in their head-to-head. Anisimova beat Osaka at the 2022 Australian Open (4-6, 6-3, 7-6(5)) and at Roland-Garros 2022 (7-5, 6-4). 

  • Osaka to win – Osaka has won 10 of her last 12 matches on hard courts.
  • Match to go 3 sets – Their 2022 Australian Open clash went the distance, and both players have dropped sets en route to this semifinal.
  • Over 21.5 total games – Osaka’s last three US Open matches have averaged 23.6 games, while Anisimova’s have averaged 22.4.
  • Osaka first-set winner – Osaka has taken the opening set in 8 of her last 9 matches on hard courts.
  • Anisimova to win a set – She has claimed at least one set in both of her previous matches against Osaka, both at Grand Slams.

Osaka’s elite Grand-Slam instincts and recent form give her a slight edge, but Anisimova’s aggressive returning and recent revenge over top rivals mean Osaka will be tested. 

My top 3 bet picks:- 

📌 Osaka to win @ 1.891 odds on Bet365

📌 Match to go 3 sets @ 2.25 odds on Betway

📌 Osaka win first set @ 1.84 odds on 1xbet

Odds
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Odds 1,891
Bet Type Osaka to win
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Match to go 3 sets
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type Osaka win first set
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