Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction: Can Djokovic Defy Alcaraz’s Flawless Run in New York?

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
05 Sep 2025 22:00
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Tennis Grand Slam US Open New York USA Semifinals 
Date: Sept-05-2025
Kickoff: 22:00
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium in New York, USA
Raphael George
05 Sep 2025
10:22
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,1
Bet Type Alcaraz to Win & Over 33.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on September 05, 2025

On September 5, 2025, not before 3:00 p.m. EDT, the US Open 2025 semifinal stages ignite under the bright lights of Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic. The four-time champion faces the world No. 2 for his second US Open title. While Djokovic leads Alcaraz 5-3, including the recent win in the Australian Open this year, Alcaraz remains the favorite with an impeccable run in this tournament. Our expert analysis examines player form, statistics, and recent interviews to provide the best betting tips and an accurate US Open prediction. Who would make it to the final? Keep reading for more insights.

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The No. 7 world's ranking holder, Novak Djokovic, at 38 years old, has shown that age appears to be just another datum in his remarkable trajectory: an opportunity for him to reach his 14th US Open semifinal with an unbeatable 28-9 record in 2025. The gritty 6-3, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 quarterfinal victory against No. 4 Taylor Fritz demonstrated that Djokovic has surrendered sets in three of his last five matches. He has four titles at the US Open, and now his hard-court record here stands at 12-5 every year against the 2025 semi-finalists (French, Wimbledon) and one quarter-finalist (Australian). "I'm ready for the challenge," he said after the Fritz match as he eyed a record 25th Grand Slam. That former champion probably puts on a lot of confidence in the former world No. 1 and a greater favorite in tennis betting, although his road is going to be more challenging than expected with wins over Svajda and Norrie.

World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz, at 22, is presently the big shot at the 2025 US Open with a blistering sprint to the semifinals without having lost a set. The 59-6 season record also stands at 21-4 on hard courts, crowned with a Cincinnati title. Alcaraz demolished No. 20 Jiri Lehecka 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 in the quarterfinals, having been broken once on serve the entire tournament. He has logged 355 aces with a 90.8% win rate since the clay season, speaking volumes about how far he has reached. "I want revenge," mentioned Alcaraz referring to losses against Djokovic at the 2024 Paris Olympics and in the 2025 Australian Open quarterfinals (4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4). The Spaniard, who claimed the 2022 US Open, has an eight-match winning streak and has yet to lose a set in New York (15-0). His forehand and serve (64 percent first-serve in) are devastating-but 185 double faults? That could be a problem. Due to his youth and fitness, all tennis betting odds favor Alcaraz to win this Grand Slam semifinal and regain the No. 1 ranking.

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Djokovic leads Alcaraz 5-3 in their rivalry, winning their last two meetings, including a 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 victory at the 2025 Australian Open. Their first US Open clash sees Djokovic unbeaten on hard courts (3-0). Alcaraz’s last win was the 2024 Wimbledon final, a five-set thriller.

  • Alcaraz to Win (1.297): Alcaraz’s 15-0 set score and 21-4 hard-court record favor him.
  • Over 37.5 Games (1.96): Four of their eight meetings went over 37.5 games, including 2024 Wimbledon.
  • Alcaraz -5.5 Game Spread (2.046): Alcaraz’s straight-set wins and Djokovic’s three dropped sets support this.
  • Alcaraz to Win First Set (1.46): Alcaraz’s 85% first-set win rate and serve strength.
  • Alcaraz 3-1 Set Score (3.6): Alcaraz’s form suggests a four-set win, as predicted by experts.

I’m backing Carlos Alcaraz to win this US Open 2025 semifinal against Novak Djokovic, leveraging his flawless form and physical edge. Alcaraz’s 15-0 set score and 21-4 hard-court record outshine Djokovic’s tougher path and three dropped sets.

My top 3 bet picks:- 

📌Alcaraz to Win & Over 33.5 @ 2.1 odds on 1xbet

📌Over 37.5 Games @ 1.96 odds on Betway 

📌Alcaraz 3-1 Set Score @ 3.6 odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 2,1
Bet Type Alcaraz to Win & Over 33.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type Over 37.5 Games
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 3,6
Bet Type Alcaraz 3-1 Set Score
Bet Now!

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