Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction: Can Struff Pull Off a Shock Against Djokovic in New York?

Serbia
Serbia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 Sep 2025 02:00
Germany
Germany
Date: 31 August 2025
Kickoff: 18:00
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center Flushing Meadows New York
Raphael George
30 Aug 2025
18:26
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,02
Bet Type Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets
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Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Prediction for the Match on September 01, 2025

On September 01, 2025, Flushing Meadows, New York will host a thrilling tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff at the Round of 16 match of the US Open. The Serbian marvel and a multiple Grand Slam winner will be attending the US Open to add the 25th Grand Slam to his collection, while the German qualifier seeks to stun the favourites yet again. While Djokovic should be a clear favorite given his track record and skills, Struff’s serve and recent wins against top players cannot be ignored. This article will analyze the participants’ rankings, recent performances, US Open betting guides, and previous encounters in order to anticipate the results of this critically important tennis match. Look out for the best tennis forecasts and expert opinions.

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Novak Djokovic, the seven-time Grand Slam champion and one of the greatest players, has a strong record and 14–5 on hard courts. He is 4 times a champion of the US Open. In the third round of this year’s tournament, he has shown strong form against Cameron Norrie. Winning the first set 6-4 and the third and fourth by 6-2 and 6-3 respectively, Djokovic reportedly served 51 winners, including a personal best of approximately 18 aces, against Norrie in Flushing Meadows. During the match, Djokovic had a medical timeout due to a back issue, yet he dismissed any concerns about his fitness saying, “I’m as young as ever,” in his on-court interview. Djokovic’s form in the tournament, previous title in 2023, and 90-14 career record all emphasize his dominance. 

Djokovic is set to face Struff, who has never been able to get a win against him in seven attempts. Combined with Djokovic’s return game, which is among the best, and the vast experience for such high-stake matches, he is set to be the favorite in this match at US Open 2025 Tennis betting.

As the No. 144 seed, Jan-Lennard Struff has overcome the odds being a qualifier, making it to the Round of 16 at the US Open 2025. Though his recent 29-20 record seems promising, it does little justice to the kind of shape he is in now. A reported 6-4, 6-3, 7-6(7) victory over 2024 semifinalist Frances Tiafoe in the third round is testament to that. His powerful serve and flat backhand thundered through the court while he converted crucial break points during the 2 hour and 10-minute contest. In addition, he eliminated the fifth-set 11th seed Holger Rune, further showing his grit and determination. While Struff's 48.15% hard court winning percentage is not among the top, his 28 aces in Wimbledon 2025 serve as proof of his serving power. Struff spoke with confidence after the Tiafoe match which is not surprising. Struff's unofficial ranking now being No. 98 is a testament to his comeback. Struff’s recent flamboyant Flushing Meadows performances make him a threat—even if an underdog—in the US Open tennis betting action, especially considering his lack of victories against Djokovic in seven contests.

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Novak Djokovic leads Jan-Lennard Struff 7-0 in their head-to-head, including 5-0 on hard courts. Their last meeting at the 2021 Davis Cup saw Djokovic win 6-2, 6-4.

  • Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets (2.02 odds): Djokovic’s 87% win probability and 7-0 H2H record, including 17-1 set dominance, make this a safe tennis betting pick.
  • Under 3.5 Sets (1.85 odds): Djokovic’s efficiency on hard courts and Struff’s inability to take a match to five sets against him supports a quick finish.
  • Djokovic Over 11 Aces (1.749 odds): His 18 aces against Norrie, a career-best at the US Open, suggests he’ll exploit Struff’s return game with powerful serving.
  • Struff Under 1.5 Sets Won (2.00 odds): Struff’s single set won in 18 against Djokovic indicates limited chances of breaking through the Serb’s defense.
  • Total Games Under 35.5 (1.895 odds): Djokovic’s straight-set wins in prior H2H matches and current form points to a controlled, low-game-count victory.

As I analyze the US Open 2025 Round of 16 clash between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff, the Serb’s dominance is hard to overlook. His 7-0 head-to-head record, including a 6-2, 6-4 rout in their last meeting, shows the Serbs superiority.

My best 3 bet tips:

📌 Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets @ 2.02 odds on Bet365

📌 Under 3.5 Sets @ 1.85 odds on Betway 

📌 Djokovic Over 11 Aces @ 1.749 odds on 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,02
Bet Type Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets
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Odds 1,85
Bet Type Under 3.5 Sets
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,749
Bet Type Djokovic Over 11 Aces
Bonus 100 EUR
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