Valentine Royer vs Alexander Bublik Prediction: Qualifier Valentin Royer’s fairytale run meets Alexander Bublik’s multi-surface surge — can the Frenchman upset the Kazakh in Hangzhou?

France
France
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Live
23 Sep 2025 14:30
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik
Tennis ATP 250 Hangzhou China Final
Date: 23 September 2025
Kickoff: 14:30 MSK
Venue: Center Court Hangzhou China
Raphael George
23 Sep 2025
07:33
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
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Odds 1,8
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Valentine Royer vs Alexander Bublik: Prediction for the Match on September 23, 2025

Valentin Royer (FRA), a qualifier, will face off against Alexander Bublik (KAZ) in the 2025 Lynk & Co Hangzhou Open final at 7:00 am, 24 September, Brisbane time (23 September local). Ashton Sequeira will provide live updates via Twitter. This ATP 250 championship match is for ranking momentum and late-season confidence: Bublik is the favourite having won three titles already in 2025, while Royer has gone on a rampage to reach a career‑high and his first tour‑level final. Their contrasting styles – Royer’s baseline stability against Bublik’s booming serve and all-court aggression – mean that bettors will have clear favourite lines but also a few underdog angles to consider.

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Valentin Royer is the ATP tournament sensation: a qualifier who has managed to go through the qualifying matches and the main draw to reach his first ATP final. The 24-year-old Frenchman is on the verge of being ranked within the top 100 (just setting a new personal best in his career), and he has displayed great calm under pressure this week - a straight sets semi-final win over Corentin Moutet (6-3,6-2) included.

Royer's style of play includes a dependable flat first serve, a steady ground stroke and the general idea of extending points; he has never been victorious in a final under heavy pressure and does not have the experience of Bublik when playing against top seeds. Yet, Royer's precision in hitting the ball and his recent match tempo (several consecutive wins) allow him to create problems for Bublik in case his serve drops or if long rallies make Bublik commit unforced errors.

We can say that Alexander Bublik is coming to Hangzhou as the first choice and is very likely to win. Today, he is in the top 25 world ranking and just looking at his achievements in 2025 shows that Bublik has won 3 singles titles on tour level (Halle on grass, Gstaad, and Kitzbühel on clay) and he has been very good on hard courts which is the reason he is seeded here at this event. After a very dominant semifinal performance against Wu Yibing (6‑3, 6‑3), Bublik reached the final where he served 19 aces and ruled the rallies with big lefty serves and aggressive baseline winners. Throughout 2025, Bublik has worked on his consistency and when he is on with his first serve, he becomes very tough to beat; he gets many free points, shortens rallies, and forces his opponents to take risks. Also, experience in finals, a growing arsenal of finishing shots, and more big-match minutes than Royer make him the logical choice to win — especially if it is in straight sets — unless Royer can keep a very high first-serve percentage and a very low number of errors.

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This is their first ATP main‑tour meeting — no direct H2H to separate them.

  • Back Alexander Bublik (Match-winner) — bookmakers list him as the clear favourite.
  • Bublik in 2 Sets — likely if his serve remains dominant and Royer’s inexperience shows.
  • Over 22.5 Games — if Royer takes a set, the market stretches (three-set potential).
  • First‑Set Bublik — he’s been fast out of the blocks this week.
  • Bublik Total Aces Over (market line) — Bublik averaged heavy ace counts in the semi.

I expect a serve‑heavy final where Bublik’s experience and firepower should prevail. My lean: Bublik to win in straight sets.

Bublik’s 2025 form (three titles, strong serve), his semi performance and final‑level experience outweigh Royer’s qualifier momentum.

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🏅Alexander Bublik win 2-0 @ 1.81 Odds on Bet365

⚠️Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.

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Odds 1,83
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