Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic: Prediction for the Match on July 07, 2025

Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
07 Jul 2025 13:00
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
Tennis Grand Slam Wimbledon London Great Britain R16
07-July-2025, 13:00
Court 1 London United Kingdom
Grass Court
Raphael George
06 Jul 2025
07:59
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Over 33.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic: Prediction for the Match on July 07, 2025

It might just be one of the most anticipated Round of 16 matches of the tournament as Novak Djokovic faces Alex de Minaur on Court 1 of Wimbledon. The Serbian legend is aiming for a record-extending Grand Slam count, while de Minaur comes in smelling of confidence, form, and the will to make a statement on the grass. With the clean control of Djokovic being in stark contrast to the explosive speed of de Minaur, the match foretells an enthralling spectacle. Added to this is the story of de Minaur having missed their previous clash at Wimbledon due to injury. Given both players are in strong form and can go for long rallies and then swing momentum abruptly, the fans in London are set for one drama-filled showdown.

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Ranked No. 11, de Minaur heads into the Round of 16 with an aggregated record of 3-2 in his last five outings and coming off straight-set wins over Holmgren and Carballés Baena. 

In 2024, de Minaur reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals but withdrew with a hip injury before facing Djokovic. His grass-court swing includes a rather recent clinical triumph, registering 13 break chances. 

Off the court, his relationship with British player Katie Boulter forged an increasingly strong affinity with the UK fans; ATP Tour noted that he has been called an "honorary Brit". Media reactions have punctuated de Minaur's perseverance: "ultimate challenge" remarks and enthusiasm about him facing Djokovic again. Socially, he is still strong, with his fans glorifying his willpower and baseline defense. All eyes are on him as he aims for a true breakthrough at Wimbledon. The question remains will he have enough speed and grit to defeat the Serbian great?

Djokovic—Rank 6 in the world and a seven-time Wimbledon champion- has been in formidable sort-of shape. He rained his way through Wimbledon 2022. After his landmark victory, surpassing the 100-match record at Wimbledon, Djokovic defeated Evans and Kecmanović in straight sets in the opening rounds. He had surrendered only one set up to now, demonstrating uncanny precision and ice-cold command of the court. Djoko, at 38, still considers the All England Club his best shot at becoming a 25-time Grand Slam champion. He had missed out on all the warm-ups to conserve energy, instead opting for exhibition tournaments. The presstime wrote of his blend of mechanical excellence and audience connectivity. Twitter and Instagram were abuzz with people cheering the 100th win milestone and joking about the "sunset years," evoking both respect and nostalgia. Ageless, his prowess is unveiled in the quest for record-breaking glory and rarely achieved 100-wins at Wimbledon.

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Djokovic leads de Minaur 2‑1 in ATP matches, including wins at Monte‑Carlo 2024 and Wimbledon quarter‑finals by walkover. Their overall match record stands at 5‑4 in Djokovic’s favor. De Minaur’s sole on‑court win came at United Cup 2024.

  • Both Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur have dropped just one set each en route to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon 2025,.
  • De Minaur has converted over 40% of break point opportunities across his last three matches.
  • Djokovic's first-serve win percentage remains above 75% for the tournament.
  • In their head-to-head history, Djokovic has won 2 of their 3 ATP Tour meetings, including their only grass court meeting.
  • Across all their ATP H2H matches, sets have been relatively one-sided in Djokovic’s wins (e.g., 6-2, 6-1), while de Minaur’s lone victory featured high-intensity rallies and longer games.

I believe Djokovic edges this in 4 sets His ability to stay solid and impose his game will outlast de Minaur’s bursts. But make no mistake—expect fast rallies, tense exchanges, and Aussie flashes that will keep Centre Court buzzing. Below are my top picks:-

Over 33.5 games at 1.62 odds on 1xbet — 

Both players hold well; statistics show tight sets ahead.

Djokovic to win in 4 sets at 4.0 odds on Bet365

Expect the Serbian’s precision to break down de Minaur’s resistance.

De Minaur over 15.5 games at 1.78 odds on Betway — 

With his speed and confidence, he’s capable of extending rallies and holding serve frequently. 

Odds
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Over 33.5 games
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Odds 4,0
Bet Type Djokovic to win in 4 sets
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type De Minaur over 15.5 games
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