Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on July 06, 2025
Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev will meet on Centre Court this Sunday for the Round of 16 clash on grass. Alcaraz, two-time defending champion and world No. 2, is gunning for a historic third win in a row, while 14th seed Rublev of Russia presents a bona fide threat to the favorite. This preview looks into form, head-to-head stats, and betting angles for this marquee grass-court clash.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇷🇺 Andrey Rublev
No. 14 Andrey Rublev has shown flashes of brilliance this season but has never been able to maintain consistency. He captured the Qatar Open title and finished runner-up in Hamburg. On the grassy surface, his warm-up split ended quickly with a second-round exit. At Wimbledon, Rublev went past Laslo Djere, Lloyd Harris, and Adrian Mannarino in two four-set wins and one straight-set win. In the courtside interviews, he gave credit to improved net skills, speaking about Marat Safin perhaps influencing his mentality. On social media sites, fans appreciate his greatly improved net play and athleticism. At age 27, Rublev is bringing a lot of experience and power to grass; however, the fact that he is still considered an underdog just goes to show that the guy has tremendous clay success but not quite on grass yet. This Centre Court clash will be his biggest test so far in London.
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz
Entering Wimbledon 2025, world No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz is in untouchable form. He is running 21 match wins in a row with titles at Rome, Roland Garros, Queen’s Club, and beyond. At Wimbledon, he survived a five-set thriller against Fabio Fognini in the opener before straight-corrupted wins over Oliver Tarvet and Jan-Lennard Struff. In interviews, Alcaraz reiterated that he remained calm, saying, "I have nothing to prove" as he looked to taste his third consecutive Wimbledon crown. The social media buzz centered around his grass-court dominance, praising his power-with-finesse style. Meanwhile, analysts of the tournament noted he could still do well to work on his serve: only three aces in his last match. On momentum, mental clarity, and grass-court success, Alcaraz must be feeling in his own element heading for a sun-kissed Centre Court showdown.
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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Statistics
Alcaraz and Rublev are tied 2–2 in their career meetings. Their last encounter came at the 2024 ATP Finals, where Alcaraz edged Rublev 6‑3, 7‑6(8). Rublev’s most notable win occurred at the 2024 Madrid Open.
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips and Odds
- Alcaraz has won 21 straight matches, including 5‑0 on grass this season.
- Rublev’s grass form is mixed: warm‑up exit in Halle, but strong Wimbledon showings.
- In his tournament, Alcaraz has dropped sets in both the opener and third round.
- Rublev’s H2H record indicates his ability to challenge top players—he holds a win in Madrid.
- Betting markets show Alcaraz as a heavy favourite (1.089 Odds moneyline), while “Rublev to win a set” offers value.
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Prediction
I believe Alcaraz will emerge victorious in straight sets, but Rublev’s aggressive baseline game gives him a solid chance to claim a set. I’m backing those three picks with confidence in Alcaraz’s grass form and Rublev’s ability to challenge. Below are my top picks:-
Alcaraz to Win in 3 Sets at 1.89 odds on Bet365 –
His grass‑court dominance and form make a straight‑set win likely.
Under 36.5 Total Games at 1.61 odds on 1xbet –
Alcaraz tends to close matches efficiently; expect swift sets.
Rublev to Win at Least One Set at 1.91 odds on Betway –
His power and net play could disrupt, matching value at around 1.91 odds.
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