Belinda Bencic vs Iga Swiatek Prediction: five‑time Grand Slam champion face Swiss comeback star

Switzerland
Switzerland
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Live
10 Jul 2025 16:40
Poland
Poland
Tennis Grand Slam Wimbledon London Great Britain Semifinals
10-July-2025 | 16:40
Centre Court London United Kingdom 
Grass Court 
Raphael George
09 Jul 2025
21:09
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 19.5 total games
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Belinda Bencic vs Iga Swiatek: Prediction for the Match on July 10, 2025

At 4:40 p.m. July 10, Centre Court will witness the high-stakes 2025 Wimbledon semifinal between Belinda Bencic and Iga Swiatek. The five-time Grand Slam titleholder, Swiatek, aims for her maiden final appearance at this year's Championships. Bencic, returning for the first time since maternity leave, is now ranked 35 and tries to stop Swiatek's momentum and reach her second Grand Slam final herself. This clash on grass should bring all the intensity and tactical grit to the stage.

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Entering as the 35th seed into the Wimbledon semifinal, Bencic is buzzing with great form. Since having been on maternity leave up to April, she grabbed a WTA title at Bad Homburg and kept climbing the ranks. Making the rounds for the fourth time, she defeated Mirra Andreeva 7‑6, 7‑6 for her maiden run into the Grand Slam semi-finals since the 2019 US Open. Social media and many pundits have cheered for "The Last Mum Standing" in the SW19 draw. Working with her family and her team, Bencic gave credits for the extraordinary energy behind her comeback in some of her interviews. She has been consistent on Wimbledon courts, favoring a backhand-slice approach on grass, and in tight tiebreakers, she has displayed a large measure of grit. Going into the semi-finals, her momentum and mental strength are top priorities.

Entering into this semifinal trying to book her spot in what would be her first Wimbledon final, World No. 4 Iga Swiatek had a 2025 grass season that included runner-up finishes in Bad Homburg and strong performances at Wimbledon. She has won all matches except for one in straight sets, having dropped a set to Caty McNally in his third-round match. She then defeated Liudmila Samsonova 6–2, 7–5 in the quarterfinals, demonstrating a strong resolve on grass. Now standing at 8-1 for the season on grass courts, Swiatek mentioned that, through enhanced movement and point construction, she's become more comfortable on grass. This is a transition from clay-court dominance to consistent performance on all surfaces, an action that has earned her many positive comments from commentators and fans alike.

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Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4–1 over Bencic. Their most recent meeting came at Wimbledon 2023, where Swiatek won in three sets. 

  • Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4–1 against Bencic.
  • Three of their five matches have gone to three sets.
  • Swiatek has dropped only one set en route to the semifinal — against Caty McNally.
  • Bencic has won seven of her last ten matches since returning from maternity leave.
  • Three of their five head-to-head clashes went over 21.5 total games.

It is clear that Swiatek holds the edge based on her ranking, form, and head-to-head advantage. But Bencic’s mental toughness and strong grass adaptation could extend the match. My top tips for the game are:- 

Over 19.5 total games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet —Bencic’s tiebreak frequency and Swiatek’s efficient but tight wins suggest extended sets.

Swiatek to win in 3 sets @ 3.74 odds on Bet365 — Based on past head-to-head trends and Bencic’s resistance, a decider is likely.

Over 2.5 sets @ 2.52 odds on Betway — All recent matchups between them have gone the distance.

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 19.5 total games
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Odds 3,74
Bet Type Swiatek to win in 3 sets
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Odds 2,52
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