Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction: Can French qualifier Benjamin Bonzi upset world No. 9 Daniil Medvedev on London’s Court 2?

Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction for the Match on July 01, 2025

Court 2 in London will host a riveting Wimbledon Round 1 clash between the qualifier Benjamin Bonzi and former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev. This sets the incipient Frenchman's grass prowess against Medvedev's power baseline game and tournament resume. Both players have been performing in fits and spurts all season, so with dynamics at play in abundance, this one should be all the more interesting for those Googling "Bonzi vs Medvedev Wimbledon prediction" and "grass court upset probability.”

🇫🇷 Benjamin Bonzi

Ranked No. 64 in the world, Bonzi arrives at Wimbledon full of momentum off the grass courts. Bonzi remains perfect at 5–0 in the 2025 Wimbledon qualifying rounds on grass, with wins over Watanuki, Bublik, and Ward . However, he did enter the main draw very much under pressure, losing 2–6, 4–6 to Brandon Holt at Mallorca . In the overall season, Bonzi is now 14–16 (10–9 hard, 2–4 clay, 2–3 grass) . He was a roaring 24–6 on grass in 2024 . Though he has not been very active on social media in recent months, Bonzi talked about his excitement following his qualifying win. "Grass courts suit my style—flat strokes and confidence." No top-10 victories this year, but his most famous career victory? Obviously, it is the 2017 triumph at Roland-Garros over Medvedev . Bonzi comes to London as a qualifying player in a fresh state of mind: nothing to lose and a rare top-10 scalp on the horizon.

🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev

World No. 9 and seeded ninth at the All England Club, Medvedev carries some serious credentials into the guest bench of Court 2. This Russian has made two straight Wimbledon semifinals in 2023 and 2024. The guy went in full toe with a serve-driven campaign in Halle: beating Zverev (semis) and Michelsen before losing to Bublik in the final. In 2025, his grass-court season looks quite promising: undefeated until the final, showing some adaptability. So far this year, he holds an 89–31 career Grand Slam record and an 18–6 record at the All England Club. In a recent interview with TalkSport, Taylor Fritz, recalling his friendly feud with Medvedev in Wimbledon practice, offered great insight into Medvedev's chill confidence. Armed with to-the-point service games and knowing what it takes to crack that top 10, Medvedev will be hard to bet against here.

Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Statistics

With the scoreline at 1–1 in their meetings, Bonzi turned the tables while defeating Medvedev at Roland-Garros 2017 (5–7, 6–4, 6–1 ret.), and the balance in the rivalry was restored by Medvedev’s triumph in their other meeting . They have yet to face each other on grass, thus the first encounter at Wimbledon appears to be an exciting new challenge.

Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips and Odds

• Medvedev has won all his matches at Halle (Grass) in 2025 before falling in the final—shows strong form on the surface.
• Bonzi boasts a 5‑0 2025 grass qualifying streak, demonstrating exceptional early tournament rhythm.
• Historically H2H is split, with Bonzi’s career highlight coming in a retirement win over Medvedev — contrasted with Medvedev’s greater consistency.
• Medvedev's Wimbledon semifinal appearances in 2023 and 2024 signal deep Grand Slam form and experience at SW19.
• Over 31.5 games market favours due to Medvedev’s propensity for 3‑set matches vs savvy opponents. Oddspedia lists this event over line at 1.60 Odds

Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev Match Prediction

Daniil Medvedev is the solid favourite, but expect resistance from Bonzi. My key betting tips are:

Daniil Medvedev Win + Over 31.5 games @ 1.87 odds on 1xbet — Dominant grass form, ranking edge, and Grand Slam pedigree favour him heavily.

Over 33.5 Total Games @ 1.81 odds on Bet365 — Bonzi’s serve and qualifier momentum could force Medvedev into a tight 3‑set battle. 

Bonzi To Take a Set @ 2.01 odds on Betway — Based on his 5‑0 qualifying run and chance to exploit Medvedev’s slower grass adaptation in early rounds. H2H shows his ability to challenge on Roland‑Garros—on grass, expect him to win a set.