Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction: Defending champion Alcaraz faces resilient home favourite Norrie on Centre Court

Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie
Start
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Seconds
Finished
Live
08 Jul 2025 13:00
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Tennis Grand Slam Wimbledon London Great Britain Quarterfinals   
08-July-2025, 13:00  
Centre Court London United Kingdom   
Grass Court
Raphael George
07 Jul 2025
12:28
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 31 total games
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Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on July 08, 2025

The Wimbledon Centre Court will witness an exciting combat as Carlos Alcaraz and Cameron Norris clash in the quarterfinals. In dazzling form, the defending champion enters the match, whilst the British hopes come armed with the wave of public support and an inspiring win in the fourth round. Of course, the contrasting styles and stories of these players should guarantee that this is surely one of the few outstanding battles of the tournament.

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Ranked 61 in the world, Cameron Norrie was coming into this quarterfinal fresh off an epic five-set thriller with Nicolás Jarry (6-3, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 6-3), measured at over four hours, thus his longest match ever. After fighting his way out of poor form and a biceps injury that saw him ranked as low as 91 in May, Norrie credits hard work and resilience for his comeback. Norrie held all 25 service games against Jarry and fiercely saved eight break points on the way to victory-a very composed showing. British fans embraced the slogan “Cam the Man” on social media in the spirit of his comeback and flair. Interviews saw Norrie regard the win as "icing on the cake" following the return to form. As the last remaining British singles player, Norrie carries with him the hopes of an entire nation to Centre Court, filling it with energy, determination, and grit.

World No. 2 and the reigning champion Carlos Alcaraz continues his superlative run at Wimbledon; at 18-match wins, he holds a record of consecutive wins at SW19. In a hard-fought four-set match, he progressed to the quarterfinals by beating Andrey Rublev, showing great resilience by fighting back after dropping the first set in a tiebreak. With titles already in the bank at Queen's Club and on clay earlier this season, the 22-year-old Spanish player was coming into these championships full of momentum and confidence. Social media exploded with clips of his majestic passing shots that sent the Centre Court crowd into frenzy. In the post-match interviews, Alcaraz drew attention to his mental fortitude and the attempt to consolidate a third consecutive Wimbledon crown. Having won here twice already, Alcaraz brings elite grass-court pedigree and confidence to this high-stakes meeting.

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Alcaraz holds a 4–2 advantage in their rivalry, though their only previous meeting on clay saw Norrie triumph at Rio in 2023 (5‑7, 6‑4, 7‑5). This quarter‑final marks their first-ever clash on grass. 

  • Alcaraz is unbeaten in his last 18 Wimbledon matches; he hasn’t dropped in SW19 since 2022.
  • Norrie has excelled in high‑pressure fifth sets, saving eight break points in his fourth‑round win.
  • Alcaraz averages around 12 aces per match in this tournament, maintaining a powerful serve.
  • Norrie held all 25 service games versus Jarry, showing strong hold stats on grass.
  • In four of their six past meetings, matches went to three or more sets, suggesting a high likelihood of multiple sets played.

I believe Alcaraz will edge out Norrie in four sets. Here’s why: His grass‑court momentum (18‑match streak) and proven clutch play under pressure set the tone. Norrie’s serve is solid, but Alcaraz’s return game and ability to break at key moments may tilt the balance. Expect a tight first two sets, potentially splitting, before Alcaraz asserts dominance in the third. A summary of my betting picks are:-

Over 31 total games at 1.6 odds on 1xbet – likely four sets with competitive scorelines.

Alcaraz to win in 4 sets at 3.28 odds on Bet365 – strong serve, mental edge, value on odds.

First set over 9.5 games at 1.6 odds on Betway – both players tend to start tight and serve well early.

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Odds 1,6
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Odds 3,28
Bet Type Alcaraz to win in 4 sets
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