Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction: Swiatek aims for her first Wimbledon semifinal as Samsonova targets a career breakthrough

Poland
Poland
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Day
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09 Jul 2025 15:00
Russia
Russia
Tennis Grand Slam Wimbledon London Great Britain Quarterfinals
9-July-2025 | 15:00
Court 1 London England
Grass Court 
Raphael George
08 Jul 2025
18:08
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 23 total games
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Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova: Prediction for the Match on July 09, 2025

On July 9, 2025, at 15:00, Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova will be facing each other for the Wimbledon quarterfinals in Court 1 in London. The tie has Swiatek as the favorite because she has never been beaten by Samsonova and is in top form on grass this season. It is an added incentive for the Polish star to reach her maiden Wimbledon semifinal, while Samsonova is going with the dream of keeping her breakthrough run alive in her first Grand Slam semifinal. This meeting against the contrasting styles also will go to momentum with measured precision from Swiatek against the power game of Samsonova.

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8th-seeded Iga Swiatek is gaining momentum to produce good bounce upon the grass courts. She has an impeccable record of 4–0 against Samsonova in head-to-head matches. Swiatek defeated Clara Tauson 6‑4, 6‑1 to reach the quarterfinals. The win came after she recovered from a shaky start against her serve, with the match lasting just about an hour. Her career Grand Slam quarterfinal tally now stands at 12, making her one of the youngest players to do so since Sharapova. Swiatek has won seven matches on grass this year, equaling her best grass-court season from 2023. Swiatek's social media presence has kept her in the spotlight, with fans rallying behind her confident on-court displays and candid off-court interviews. Recently, she hinted at feeling comfortable on grass: "I've been very comfortable on grass; I've adapted well." The five-time Grand Slam champion will be seeking her first Wimbledon semifinal, marking her as a serious contender for the title.

Liudmila Samsonova is seeded 19th for Wimbledon and is playing the first ever Grand Slam quarterfinal of her career. This season, she has been excellent, going through Wimbledon without losing a set-including a stern 7‑5, 7‑5 victory over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. Her last grasscourt tournament in Berlin was soon to be remembered; she saved match point to beat former champion Jessica Pegula, cracking the semifinal. Social media has praised her composure and fighting spirit, especially following her emotional win press conference. In a recent interview, she revealed that she avoids finding out who her next opponent is to keep herself mentally fresh. Ranked No. 19, Samsonova tries to consolidate a breakthrough season, having won five WTA titles and two WTA 1000 finals. An upset of Swiatek would be her biggest-ever victory and take her to the semifinals in a major for the very first time.

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Swiatek leads the rivalry 4–0. Their most recent meeting came in the 2024 US Open fourth round where Swiatek won 6‑4, 6‑1. All victories have been in straight sets, with Swiatek taking eight consecutive sets in the matchup.

  • Swiatek has not dropped a set against Samsonova in their four previous meetings, winning 8 – 0 in sets
  • Swiatek has claimed seven grass-court match wins in 2025—her best grass-year performance
  • Samsonova has yet to lose a set at Wimbledon this tournament, showing strong form
  • Swiatek averaged 77% first‑serve points won and fired 18 winners in her win over Tauson
  • Samsonova’s Berlin comeback win and Berlin semi run demonstrate her mental resilience on grass

I expect Swiatek to reach her first Wimbledon semifinal and extend her head‑to‑head dominance. My three best betting tips:

Under 23 total games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet — Swiatek tends to close out sets quickly. Samsonova hasn’t pushed her to a long match yet, and their prior clashes were efficient.

Swiatek to win in straight sets @ 1.98 odds on Bet365— She’s 4–0 with all straight‑set wins over Samsonova. Her recent form and grass‑court confidence support a clean victory.

Swiatek to win the first set @ 1.6 odds on Betway— A strong start from Swiatek, who has started firmly in all matches this Wimbledon, suggests she’ll lead early on Court 1.

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