Iga Swiatek vs Polina Kudermetova: Prediction for the Match on July 01, 2025

Iga Swiatek vs Polina Kudermetova: Prediction for the Match on July 01, 2025

Wimbledon 2025 gets underway July 1 with the very appealing first-round clash of Iga Świątek against Polina Kudermetova: Wimbledon preview, Swiatek Kudermetova analysis, grass-court form. We look at Swiatek's redemption on grass after being runner-up in Bad Homburg and Kudermetova cracking into the big leagues. Expect some discussion on ranking, momentum, head to head, and value bets.

🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek

Currently ranked No. 8 in the world and having a 32–10 season record going into Wimbledon, she owns a 75 percent conversion rate in 2025. She recently appeared in the final of Bad Homburg on grass, defeating Paolini 6–1, 6–3 before giving away the crown to Pegula 6–4, 7–5. Her grass-court record for the year to date stands at 72.2% (26–36 overall career), with good service stats of 62.2% first serve, and approximately 2 aces per match. She has curiously never won a grass title, but after her first grass final in Bad Homburg, she attributed her rise to greater hope. She celebrated her 300th tour-level win in Bad Homburg on social media and has spoken about her grass adaptation in interviews. Opting for a training camp in Mallorca in lieu of several warm-up tournaments feels like a very focused preparation approach for Wimbledon . Five Grand Slam titles weigh heavy in her trophy case, though she might just be mildly hungry for that first grass trophy if she thinks it through: She is almost ripe with potential and motivation to make magic on the lawns of SW19.

🇷🇺 Polina Kudermetova

The 22-year-old rising Russian Polina Kudermetova is ranked around the No. 58–63 range with her career-best ranking as high as 54, and this is her second main-draw appearance at Wimbledon. She holds an overall 2025 win-loss record of 8-12, including 0-1 on grass. She recently reached one career ITF final and currently holds a total WTA record of 13-10. Hard courts appear to have inclined her to play on the ITF tour with little exposure to grass-playing. Her most recent outing on grass saw her lose to Rybakina in Berlin 2023 while serving nine aces but struggling somewhat on second serve (38%). She is active on Instagram (@p.kudermetova) and posts a lot about her life on tour yet no major stuff from Wimbledon. With no recent interviews coming forth that signal big expectations, Kudermetova's entry rather tags her as a lowly-seeded outsider on London grass. With very sparse grass-court data and no deep Grand Slam experience (0-2), Kudermetova is set for an uphill opener but can still be threatening on serve.

Iga Swiatek vs Polina Kudermetova Head-to-Head Statistics

This is the first-ever meeting between Iga Świątek and Polina Kudermetova, so H2H stands at 0–0. No streaks or past data to analyze.

Iga Swiatek vs Polina Kudermetova Betting Tips and Odds

• Swiatek is 9–2 in her last 11 first-round Grand Slam matches.
• Swiatek has cleared 20+ total games in 4 of her last 5 grass-court matches.
• Kudermetova has hit 5+ aces in 7 of her last 10 matches.
• Swiatek’s last 3 grass-court matches featured both players winning 3+ games per set.
• Kudermetova has covered the +5.5 games handicap in 4 of her last 5 matches as an underdog.

Iga Swiatek vs Polina Kudermetova Match Prediction

Swiatek's preparation for grass has proceeded fast enough to see her in a maiden final. Kudermetova has a rather intriguing serve with the lack of grass confidence and major Slam experience (0–1). The ranking differential is substantial (No. 8 vs ~No.62). Most likely, though, Swiatek wins 2-0, covering the set handicaps and setting up a moderately high total games bet. My top 3 Betting Tips:

Over 16.5 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet — Despite Swiatek’s dominance, Kudermetova’s powerful serve suggests at least one set could be competitive, pushing the total game count above 16.5.

Total Aces Over 5 @ 1.72 odds on Bet365 — Both players possess big serves—Swiatek averages 2 aces per match on grass, and Kudermetova fired nine aces even in Berlin. Combined, an over 8.5 aces market provides solid value.

Kudermetova to win over 5.5 games @ 2.02 odds on Betway — Even in likely defeat, Kudermetova’s serve-heavy game should allow her to notch 3–4 games per set. She’s unlikely to be shut out, making this a solid margin play.