Taylor Fritz vs Jordan Thompson Prediction: American top seed Fritz meets Australian Thompson in thrilling R16 clash

Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
06 Jul 2025 15:00
Jordan Thompson
Jordan Thompson
Tennis Grand Slam Wimbledon London Great Britain R16
6-July-2025, 15:00
Court 1 London England
Grass Court
Raphael George
05 Jul 2025
19:32
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 3,32
Bet Type Taylor Fritz to win 3‑1
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Taylor Fritz vs Jordan Thompson P: Prediction for the Match on July 06, 2025

On July 6, 2025, the fifth-ranked Taylor Fritz will have to face No. 44 Jordan Thompson in the big Round of 16 clash on Wimbledon Court 1. The American and Australian are set to take on the London grass-court, the former aiming for his first Wimbledon quarter-final since 2024. Various keywords such as "Wimbledon grass," "Fritz vs. Thompson," and "Wimbledon Round of 16" are used by this preview to talk about form, stats, and betting opinions.

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Taylor Fritz enters the Round of 16 as a prime seed (No. 5) and a seasoned grass-court competitor. In his usual form, he's never tasted defeat in his last five at Wimbledon, sealing crushing wins over Mpetshi Perricard, Diallo, and a four-set battle over Davidovich-Fokina. It has been an exhausting path for Fritz to get there, as he worked through pain in his knee tendinitis and elbow issues; he even went on to say that the intensity helped to rejuvenate his body. Coming fresh off ATP 250 titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne, the tag "American Grass-Court King" has surely been cemented to his name. Being called American Grass-Court King has surely been earned by him, especially considering that he also emerged victorious at the ATP 250 tournaments in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. As observed on social media, fans were very much in awe of his fighting spirit, especially for the comeback in the five-setter against Mpetshi Perricard, with compliments to Fritz's focus: "Unbothered by extra time on court." Incidentally, he even sounds cautiously optimistic during his post-match interviews, stating that he felt he was "in a good position, playing tennis very well." Fritz essentially hopes to retain his sharpness and keep his fitness ailments under control in the round-robin pressure.

High on his good grass-court results, Thompson marched into the tournament as the No. 44 player in the world, presenting straightforward wins against Kopriva, Bonzi, and Darderi . Thompson offers gritty play-style and big mental toughness; for instance, he had one of the most memorable occasions when he beat Fritz 6‑4, 6‑3 in the Queen's quarterfinals in 2024, an effort characterized by denying Fritz any break points. The social media talks have centered on his gritty attitude, his Queen's upset being still circulating with praise for his resilience. He has even stated in interviews about embracing the underdog role and saying that "if you stick at it long enough you keep improving". Thompson is enjoying a very successful career on grass, with semifinal appearances at Libéma Open and a title at Los Cabos. He enjoys beating numerous big names, including all-time greats like Andy Murray and Tsitsipas. Thompson enters this match now fully confident following three straight-set victories, consistent in his grass-court form. We would expect a laser-focused, hard-hitting Thompson, out to recreate his Queen's shock and notch another major scalp.

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The pair meet with Fritz leading 2–1 overall, but Thompson owns the only grass‑court encounter: a 6‑4, 6‑3 win at Queen’s in June 2024.

  • Fritz is unbeaten in his last five Wimbledon matches, showing peak form on grass.
  • Thompson converted his only grass H2H meeting into a straight‑sets upset at Queen’s against Fritz.
  • Fritz has won his last three grass‑court titles (Stuttgart, Eastbourne, Wimbledon R3) with strong momentum.
  • Thompson’s grass‑court season includes wins at the Libéma Open and consistent early Wimbledon victories.
  • Three of their past meetings went the distance in sets, reflecting tight, high‑tension encounters.

I’m confident in Fritz’s consistency and physical freshness, but I anticipate Thompson will force high-quality tennis throughout. The key will be Fritz maintaining energy and focus to close in the fourth. Below are my top 3 tips:

Taylor Fritz to win 3‑1 at 3.32 odds on 1xbet: his superior serve and return depth should tilt the balance, but Thompson will take one set.

Total games over 37.5 at 1.914 odds on Betway: both players favour extended rallies and service holds; expect long games.

First set over 9.5 games at 1.72 odds on Bet365 : Both players are historically strong starters on grass. Thompson’s ability to hold serve and Fritz’s confidence in opening sets make this a likely long opener.

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Odds 3,32
Bet Type Taylor Fritz to win 3‑1
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Odds 1,914
Bet Type Total games over 37.5
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type First set over 9.5 games
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