Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: How are the Jaguars being set as less than a field goal favorite in this one?

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
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23 Nov 2025 22:05
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL: Round 12
Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars
State Farm Stadium
23.11.2025, 22.05
Muhydeen Murphy
22 Nov 2025
19:29
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Arizona Cardinals to win
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Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Prediction for the match on November 23, 2025

The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Arizona Cardinals this Sunday at State Farm Stadium. The Jaguars have won two of their last three games. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 1-4 at home. The Jaguars are coming off a wild couple of weeks and are focused on making a push for the postseason. They’ll face a struggling Arizona team in Glendale. We break down the matchup and share the top betting picks here at Telecom Asia.

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Arizona (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U) lost 41-22 to San Francisco last weekend, failing to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The Cardinals have dropped seven of their last eight games. Seattle and San Francisco both dominated Arizona in the past two weeks, with the Cardinals allowing over 40 points in each game. Despite outgaining the 49ers by more than 200 yards, Arizona committed three turnovers and racked up 17 penalties for 130 yards. San Francisco scored 25 points in the first half and never looked back. Arizona became the first NFL team since at least 2000 to allow two touchdowns in the first six minutes of consecutive games. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has started five games in place of Kyler Murray, who is on the IR with a foot sprain. Brissett has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1,570 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions, averaging 7.4 yards per pass and 224.4 yards per game. His top target is tight end Trey McBride (71 receptions, 718 yards, 7 TDs). Running back Emari Demercado leads the Cardinals' rushing attack with 241 yards on 31 carries. Arizona scores 22.4 points per game (19th) and averages 333.5 total yards (14th), with 227.8 passing yards (12th) and 105.7 rushing yards (24th). The defense allows 25.6 points (25th) and 333.6 total yards (21st) per game, including 221.4 passing yards (20th) and 112.2 rushing yards (16th).

The Cardinals had a busy injury list on Wednesday, with several players sidelined during practice. Kelvin Beachum (groin), Baron Browning (concussion), Emari Demercado (ankle), Marvin Harrison (illness), Will Hernandez (knee), Will Johnson (back/hip), Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (ankle), and Jonah Williams (shoulder) all missed practice. However, a few players were able to do some light work. Trey Benson (knee), Hayden Conner (knee), Bam Knight (ankle), Darius Robinson (groin), and Garrett Williams (ankle) practiced on a limited basis.

Jacksonville (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U) dominated the LA Chargers 35-6 last Sunday, covering the spread as three-point underdogs. The Jaguars bounced back from their loss to Houston with a strong performance. They scored a touchdown in every quarter and converted five of six red zone trips. Los Angeles couldn’t find the end zone and failed to score in the second half, managing only 135 total yards. Jacksonville controlled the clock, holding a time of possession advantage of over 15 minutes. The Chargers were just 4-for-15 on third and fourth downs. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has completed 59.8% of his passes for 2,151 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He averages 6.4 yards per pass and 215.1 yards per game. His top target is WR Brian Thomas Jr. (30 receptions for 420 yards, 1 TD). Running back Travis Etienne Jr. leads the team’s ground game with 729 yards and five touchdowns on 154 carries. Jacksonville scores 24.0 points per game (14th) and averages 326.9 total yards (19th), including 199.4 passing yards (21st) and 127.5 rushing yards (8th). Their defense allows 22.6 points (12th) and 323.6 total yards (14th) per game, with 236.9 passing yards (26th) and 86.7 rushing yards (2nd).

Travon Walker injured his knee during the game against the Chargers. This is a setback for a player who has become a key run stopper and a solid pass rusher. Brian Thomas (ankle), Anton Harrison (knee/ankle), and Jourdan Lewis (neck) were all out last week. Their status for Week 12 will be important to watch. Jacksonville continued their strong form in the 35-6 win, pulling comfortably above the .500 mark. They scored in every quarter, finishing with a 14-point lead in the fourth.

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  • Jacksonville is 1-4 in its last 5 games against Arizona. They are 2-19 in their last 21 games against NFC West opponents.
  • Arizona, on the other hand, is 4-1 in their last 5 games against Jacksonville. They are also 9-3 in their last 12 games as the underdog.

We’re not convinced that Jacksonville’s blowout win last Sunday means much about the Jaguars. It mostly pointed to the Chargers’ struggling offensive line. To make things trickier, both teams might be without a top target. Marvin Harrison Jr. (appendicitis) is likely out again this week. This spread seems off. How are the Jaguars barely favored by less than a field goal? They just crushed a decent Chargers team, while the Cardinals seem like they’re already thinking about next season. In a game where the spread should be closer to a touchdown, something doesn’t add up. We’re backing the Cardinals at home and wouldn’t be surprised if they pull off an upset.

Our match prediction is +2.5 Spread Arizona Cardinals with odds at 1.90 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Over 47.5 Total with odds at 1.90 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is the Arizona Cardinals to win with odds at 2.25 on the Betway bookmaker.

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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Arizona Cardinals to win
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Odds 1,90
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Odds 1,90
Bet Type Over 47.5 Total
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