Brazil (w) vs Japan (w) Prediction: Japanese to put up a fight despite all odds

The Brazil-Japan encounter is another quarterfinal match where the end result is harder to predict. After losing eight consecutive official matches to the Brazilians, the Japanese were finally able to knock all doubts out ten days ago. One can have nice names, but one can also play better volleyball.

Team Brazil

On September 30, Guimaraes' team lost to the Japanese in the first group stage by a score of 1-3. Of course, they were better on the block, but look at the score – 6-5. Moreover, they put the last two blocks at the end of the fourth set and before that they were losing in this regard.

Team Japan

Having lost to the Brazilians in blocks, the Japanese won in aces 5-3. They also lost their serve less often: seven against ten.

Head-to-head encounters

In the Nations League in July Brazil outplayed the Japanese on blocks 16-5. Brazil also lost their serve less often, 9-10. But in terms of aces we see the same situation as in the World Championship, 5-3 in favor of Japan.

Let's look at what was going on at the Tokyo Olympics: Brazil was winning 16-2 in blocks, had an advantage 5-3 in service errors, and tied 1-1 in aces.

Conclusion: Brazil is better on the blocks, but not by much lately. Service errors are not stable, and the South Americans haven't had any advantage in aces for a long time. What's more, while in 2021 Japan did not lose by aces, in 2022 they began to surpass Brazil.

And this season, the Japanese have either won the first set against Brazil or lost by two points or less on the balance sheet.

Expert Betting Tips

Despite Brazil losing in the group stage, bookmakers believe that Japan will not make the playoffs. The odds on their victory are higher than 3.0. Even the odds for Japan's loss with handicap (+1.5) are over 2.00. Here's what we suggest choosing:

– Total Points Over (178.5) for 1.89;

– 1st Set TO (45.5) for 1.83.

– 1st Set TO (45.5) for 2.05.

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